DIGIWIN SOFTWARE(300378) 国泰君安·2024-10-31 12:26Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price of 29.07 CNY [3][5] Core Views - The company is transitioning to a data and intelligent solutions provider focusing on platform construction and application services, with significant growth in mainland China and Southeast Asia [2] - AI product effectiveness is becoming more prominent, which is expected to further enhance the company's brand strength [2] - The company's business model continues to optimize, with strong growth in overseas markets, maintaining EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 at 0.68/0.85/1.04 CNY, corresponding to a 2024 PE of 35.33x [3] - Revenue for the first three quarters reached 1.573 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 11.21%, with Q3 revenue at 569 million CNY, up 11.63% year-on-year [3] - Mainland China revenue for the first three quarters was 735 million CNY, up 11.33% year-on-year, while non-mainland revenue was 838 million CNY, up 11.11% year-on-year [3] - The company is expanding its presence in Thailand and Vietnam, with revenue from Chinese enterprises going overseas increasing by 58% year-on-year in the first three quarters [3] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing rapid growth due to AI-driven demand for new and expanded factories, while the automotive parts industry is seeing increased demand for AI in industrial scenarios [3] - The company is focusing on innovative AI applications, such as the "AI+ process-oriented PLM" solution and the Chat CAD application, which leverages large model technology for design management and document generation [3] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 1.995 billion CNY, increasing to 2.228 billion CNY in 2023, and is forecasted to reach 2.605 billion CNY in 2024, 3.062 billion CNY in 2025, and 3.566 billion CNY in 2026 [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 134 million CNY in 2022, 150 million CNY in 2023, and is expected to be 184 million CNY in 2024, 230 million CNY in 2025, and 283 million CNY in 2026 [4] - EPS for 2022 was 0.49 CNY, 0.55 CNY in 2023, and is forecasted to be 0.68 CNY in 2024, 0.85 CNY in 2025, and 1.04 CNY in 2026 [4] - ROE (diluted) was 7.3% in 2022 and 2023, and is expected to increase to 8.1% in 2024, 9.2% in 2025, and 10.3% in 2026 [4] - The current P/E ratio is 48.42x for 2022, 43.13x for 2023, and is forecasted to be 35.25x in 2024, 28.15x in 2025, and 22.88x in 2026 [4] Market Data - The 52-week stock price range is 13.60-27.21 CNY [6] - The total market capitalization is 6.481 billion CNY [6] - The total shares outstanding are 271 million, with 270 million A-shares in circulation [6] Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is benefiting from AI-driven demand for new and expanded factories [3] - The automotive parts industry is seeing increased demand for AI in industrial scenarios [3] - The equipment manufacturing industry is rapidly upgrading to intelligent equipment and eliminating outdated production capacity [3]