Zoomlion(000157) 东吴证券·2024-10-31 20:08Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Q3 performance exceeded expectations, with a 29.5% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders after excluding share-based payment expenses [2] - The company is expected to maintain high growth in revenue and profitability due to the recovery of domestic business and continuous expansion in overseas markets [4] - The company has demonstrated good cost control, with an increase in profitability and quality [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 34.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, and a net profit of 3.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [2] - In Q3 alone, the company reported revenue of 9.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.9%, and a net profit of 850 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4% [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 28.4%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 9.1%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2024 increased by 5.74% year-on-year, with a significant growth of 81.57% in Q3 [3] Future Outlook - The domestic market is expected to recover, particularly in the crane and concrete sectors, which have seen significant declines [4] - The company’s overseas business is expanding, with new segments contributing to revenue growth, indicating potential for continued high growth in the future [4] - The profit forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 3.904 billion, 5.037 billion, and 6.243 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a decrease from previous estimates [4]