China XD(601179) 东吴证券·2024-11-01 08:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Xidian (601179) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance significantly exceeded market expectations, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 4% and a remarkable growth in net profit attributable to shareholders by 200% [1][2] - The improvement in profitability is attributed to optimized delivery structures and enhanced management, leading to a substantial increase in gross margin [2][3] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from high-margin orders and a strong market position in the ultra-high voltage (UHV) segment, with a projected gross margin recovery to around 25% for UHV products [3][4] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.9 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 330 million yuan, reflecting a 200% increase [1][2] - The gross margin for Q3 reached 23.7%, up by 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, driven by the delivery of UHV products and optimized product designs [2] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 6.3%, an increase of 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] Order and Market Position - The company has maintained its leading position in the UHV market, securing contracts worth 2.3 billion yuan, representing a 25% market share [3][4] - The company is also seeing growth in non-UHV orders, with a significant increase in bidding activity from the State Grid [3] Profitability Forecast - The report revises the company's net profit forecasts for 2024-2026, projecting net profits of 1.26 billion yuan, 2.07 billion yuan, and 2.74 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 65%, and 32% [4] - The target price for the stock is set at 10.0 yuan, based on a 25 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [4]