FOTON(SH:600166) Huaan Securities·2024-11-01 10:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that external demand shocks have negatively impacted the company's heavy truck sales, leading to a significant decline in performance in Q3 2024 [1] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 35.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.7%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 430 million yuan, down 45.2% year-on-year [1] - The report highlights that the company's light truck products are experiencing rapid growth in new energy penetration, which is expected to enhance product value [1] - Heavy truck exports are identified as a key source of profit growth, although short-term demand is significantly affected by market shocks [1] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 11.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.3% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 2024 was 18 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 90.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 88.6% [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 12.7%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.8 percentage points [1] - The report projects total revenue for 2024-2026 to be 63.4 billion, 71.5 billion, and 79.0 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.0%, 12.9%, and 10.6% respectively [2][3] Key Financial Indicators - The company's net profit for 2024 is projected to be 1.15 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 26.5% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is expected to be 0.14 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.33 [2][5] - The report indicates a projected return on equity (ROE) of 7.5% for 2024 [2][5]