Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [1][3][4] Core Views - The company has shown sequential improvement in revenue growth and significant year-on-year improvement in non-recurring net profit for Q3 2024, with a revenue of 38.93 billion yuan, up 8.27% year-on-year [1][4] - The company's gross margin has improved significantly in Q3 2024, reaching 28.2%, benefiting from effective cost control and price recovery strategies [1][8] - The company is expanding its production capacity steadily, with significant cash flow improvements and ongoing projects in various locations [1][12] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 116.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.81%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 15.33 billion yuan, down 42.66% [1][4] - The non-recurring net profit for the same period was 11.56 billion yuan, down 28.81% year-on-year, with an EPS of 0.383 yuan per share [1][4] - The comprehensive gross margin for the first nine months was 23.7%, a decrease of 4.93 percentage points year-on-year, but Q3 showed a recovery with a gross margin of 28.2% [1][8] - Operating cash flow for the first nine months improved significantly, reaching 10.7 billion yuan, up 121% year-on-year [1][12] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to have EPS of 0.57, 0.73, and 0.85 yuan per share for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.8, 15.5, and 13.3 [1][3][13] - The report highlights the company's structural advantages and competitive position in the fiberglass industry, particularly in high-end products and overseas market expansion [1][12]
中国巨石:2024年三季报点评:复价落地叠加降本增效,Q3业绩继续改善