FiberHome(SH:600498) Haitong Securities·2024-11-02 04:09Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in profitability in Q3 2024, with a net profit of 1.76 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.85% [5]. - The company has shown resilience in its core business, particularly in optical communication, and has secured multiple contracts in operator procurement projects, highlighting its competitive strength [6]. - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 310.09 billion yuan, 348.41 billion yuan, and 375.30 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 211.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.23%, while the net profit was 3.94 billion yuan, an increase of 20.07% [5]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 23.64%, with a net margin of 2.42% [5]. Revenue Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 310.09 billion yuan for 2024, with a slight decline of 0.4% year-on-year, followed by growth of 12.4% and 7.7% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [8][11]. - The projected net profits for the same years are 6.55 billion yuan, 9.01 billion yuan, and 10.51 billion yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [7][11]. Business Segments - The communication system equipment segment is expected to generate revenues of 245.18 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.08% [9]. - The optical fiber and cable segment is projected to decline to 48.48 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 10% [9]. Valuation - The company is assigned a dynamic PE range of 30-35X for 2025, corresponding to a fair value range of 22.82-26.62 yuan per share [7].