亚钾国际：单季度业绩环比增长，钾肥项目持续推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.483 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.13%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 518 million yuan, down 47.89% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 785 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.71%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31.46% in net profit [1] - The price of the main product, potassium chloride, showed signs of recovery, contributing to improved performance in Q3 [1] - Long-term demand for potassium fertilizer is expected to support price increases, with global demand projected to rise to 73.1 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.5% [1][3] - The company is enhancing its sales capabilities and expanding production capacity, which is expected to strengthen its market competitiveness [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to have a net profit of 742 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 39.9%, followed by increases of 44.7% and 30.3% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [3][5] - The gross profit margin is expected to decline from 58.7% in 2023 to 48.9% in 2024, before stabilizing around 51.0% in 2025 [5][7] - The company's total assets are projected to grow from 15.698 billion yuan in 2024 to 26.543 billion yuan by 2026 [6][7] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is expected to improve significantly, reaching 3.976 billion yuan by 2026 [6]