Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][7] Core Views - The company demonstrates strong performance resilience as a leading player in the Huizhou liquor industry, with revenue growth outpacing industry peers [2][4] - The company achieved a total revenue of 19.069 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.53%, and a net profit of 4.746 billion yuan, up 24.49% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is expected to continue its upward momentum, with revenue projections for 2024-2026 set at 23.778 billion yuan, 26.964 billion yuan, and 30.011 billion yuan respectively [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.263 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.36%, and a net profit of 1.174 billion yuan, up 13.60% year-on-year [1][2] - The company's sales net profit margin increased by 0.17 percentage points to 23.14%, while the gross profit margin decreased by 1.55 percentage points to 77.87% [2][4] Market Position - The company maintains a solid market position in its home province of Anhui, which remains the primary source of revenue growth, while also expanding its presence in other provinces such as Jiangsu, Shandong, and Zhejiang [2][4] Product Performance - The company’s product lines, including the Xianli version and various aged products, are expected to benefit from the ongoing growth in consumer spending, although some segments may experience a slowdown in growth rates [2][4] Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company reported a significant increase in cash flow, with operating cash flow net amount rising by 34.55% year-on-year [2][4] - As of Q3 2024, the company’s contract liabilities stood at 1.936 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease as the company adjusted its cash collection pace [2][4]
古井贡酒:2024年三季报点评:业绩增速领先,彰显徽酒龙头韧性