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Robinhood Markets Inc-A:2024Q3点评报告:Q3业绩低于预期但运营指标展现良好增长态势,看好后市表现
HOODRobinhood(HOOD) 国海证券·2024-11-03 02:17

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Robinhood (HOOD) [2][3] Core Insights - The Q3 performance of Robinhood was below expectations, with revenue of 637million,ayearoveryearincreaseof36637 million, a year-over-year increase of 36% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 7%. The GAAP net profit was 150 million, marking a return to profitability. The company expects to maintain its annual expense guidance of 1.85to1.85 to 1.95 billion [3][7] - Despite the overall performance being below market expectations, several operational metrics showed strong growth, including assets under custody reaching a new high of 152.2billion,ayearoveryearincreaseof76152.2 billion, a year-over-year increase of 76% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 6%. The number of Gold members reached 2.19 million, with a subscription rate of 9% [3][9] - October data trends are promising, with net inflows exceeding 4 billion, stock trading volumes hitting a three-year high, and cryptocurrency trading volumes expected to exceed 5billion,indicatingastrongfoundationforQ4performance[3][12]SummarybySectionsFinancialPerformanceInQ32024,Robinhoodreportedrevenueof5 billion, indicating a strong foundation for Q4 performance [3][12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, Robinhood reported revenue of 637 million, a year-over-year increase of 36% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 7%. The GAAP net profit was 150million,withanEPSof150 million, with an EPS of 0.17, which was below market expectations. The company also indicated a continued guidance for annual expenses between 1.85billionand1.85 billion and 1.95 billion [3][8][7] Operational Metrics - The assets under custody reached 152.2billion,reflectingayearoveryeargrowthof76152.2 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 76% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 6%. The average assets per funded customer increased to 6,300. The number of Gold subscribers was 2.19 million, with a subscription rate of 9% and a monthly active user count of 11 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 7% [3][9][11] Future Outlook - The report projects revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 2.6billion,2.6 billion, 3.4 billion, and 4.0billionrespectively,withGAAPnetprofitsof4.0 billion respectively, with GAAP net profits of 691 million, 1.3billion,and1.3 billion, and 1.7 billion. The corresponding P/E ratios are expected to be 30.6x, 16.1x, and 12.5x. The continuous development phase and product upgrades support a positive outlook for Robinhood's future performance [3][15][6]