JZJ(605266) 西南证券·2024-11-03 06:06Investment Rating - The report does not specify a clear investment rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in its traditional Chinese and Western medicine business, with a revenue increase of 4.3% in the first nine months of 2024, accounting for 76.8% of total sales [1][2]. - The company reported a total revenue of 6.74 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a 3.6% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 63.8% to 100 million yuan [2][4]. - The company is expanding its store network through a combination of self-built and acquired stores, with a total of 5,501 stores as of Q3 2024, representing a 7.5% increase from the beginning of the year [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.25 billion yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 68.5% to 40 million yuan [2]. - The projected net profits for 2024-2026 are estimated at 250 million yuan, 310 million yuan, and 360 million yuan respectively [1][4]. Business Expansion - The company is focusing on increasing the number and scale of stores in county-level and above markets, with 94.8% of its retail stores located in these areas [3]. - The company has a strategic plan to penetrate deeper into the market, particularly in cities with significant growth potential, while maintaining a strong presence in provincial capitals [3]. Revenue and Profitability Forecast - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 3% for retail business in 2024, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 30% for its professional services to pharmaceutical and convenience suppliers [6]. - The overall revenue forecast for 2024-2026 is expected to grow from 8.39 billion yuan in 2024 to 10.71 billion yuan in 2026, with a corresponding increase in gross margin [6][8].