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远兴能源:2024年三季报点评:阿拉善一期释放效益,二期顺利推进中

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a 29% year-on-year increase in operating income to 10.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, and a 20% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching 1.80 billion yuan [2][3] - The first phase of the Alashan project is generating benefits, and the second phase is progressing smoothly, which is expected to enhance the company's long-term growth potential [6][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company reported an operating income of 3.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2024 was 600 million yuan, reflecting a 31% year-on-year increase but a 7% decrease from the previous quarter [3] - The company’s gross profit margin was 38.94%, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.01 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.3 percentage points [3] Market Position and Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the completion of the Alashan project, which has a planned production capacity of 7.8 million tons/year for soda ash and 800,000 tons/year for sodium bicarbonate [5] - The second phase of the Alashan project is set to begin construction in December 2023, with an estimated investment of 5.5 billion yuan and a completion target of December 2025 [5][6] - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 13.6 billion, 15.1 billion, and 17.0 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 2.39 billion, 2.80 billion, and 3.25 billion yuan [6][7]