YISHENG(SZ:002458) Guohai Securities·2024-11-03 12:54Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.154 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 18.98%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 301 million yuan, down 56.04% year-on-year [2][3] - The sales of parent stock white feather broiler chicks decreased by 20% year-on-year, while the sales of commercial broiler chicks fell by 15% year-on-year [3] - The company expects to sell over 3 million sets of parent stock white feather broiler chicks and 14 million commercial broiler chicks in Q4 2024 [3] - The company's breeding pig business has seen a significant increase, with over 14,000 pigs sold in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of more than 7 times [3] - The price of parent stock broiler chicks is expected to strengthen in Q4 2024, with current prices at 70 yuan per set for parent stock and 4.9 yuan per chick for commercial broilers [3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are adjusted to 2.99 billion, 3.439 billion, and 3.838 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 579 million, 886 million, and 1.137 billion yuan [3][8] - The corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are expected to be 17, 11, and 9 times for the respective years [3] - The company is expected to benefit first from the rebound in chick prices, leading to continuous improvement in performance [3]