华能水电：前三季度利润同比+8%，需求向好支撑电价水平

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][5]. Core Views - The company achieved a year-on-year profit increase of 8% in the first three quarters of 2024, with operating revenue of 19.418 billion yuan, up 7.05% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.226 billion yuan, up 7.78% year-on-year [3][4][12]. - The company is expected to face a slight decline in revenue due to reduced hydropower generation in Q3 2024, but the demand for electricity is expected to support the increase in on-grid electricity prices [4][16]. - The company plans to invest in the Yuwang Phase II project to integrate coal, wind, and solar power, aiming to maximize comprehensive benefits [4][18]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 7.537 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.056 billion yuan, down 7.37% year-on-year [4][12]. - The company completed a total power generation of 86.026 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.82% [12][14]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 25.852 billion yuan, 28.020 billion yuan, and 29.316 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits of 8.147 billion yuan, 9.108 billion yuan, and 9.797 billion yuan for the same years [5][19]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 21.50, 19.23, and 17.88, respectively [5][19]. Project Developments - The company is set to fully commission the Toba hydropower station by the end of 2024 and the Hanyingbao hydropower station by 2025. It aims to add 3.09 million kW of new energy capacity in 2024 [5][19]. - The company has partnered with Huaneng International to establish a joint venture for the Yuwang Phase II energy project, which will include the construction of two ultra-supercritical coal-fired units and associated renewable energy resources [4][18].