截至2025年7月22日 13:18，国证绿色电力指数上涨0.84%，成分股大唐发电上涨9.89%，南网储能上涨3.28%，节能风电上涨2.62%，国投电力上涨2.57%，华 能水电上涨2.20%。绿色电力ETF(159625)上涨0.68%， 冲击4连涨。 流动性方面，绿色电力ETF盘中换手3.03%，成交951.28万元。拉长时间看，截至7月21日，绿色电力ETF近1周日均成交2238.34万元。 规模方面，绿色电力ETF近1周规模增长1361.77万元，实现显著增长，新增规模位居可比基金第一。份额方面，绿色电力ETF近1周份额增长840.00万份，新 增份额位居可比基金第一。 场外投资者可通过对应的绿色电力ETF联接基金（017057）把握投资机会。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 从估值层面来看，绿色电力ETF跟踪的国证绿色电力指数最新市盈率（PE-TTM）仅18.77倍，处于近3年18.64%的分位，即估值低于近3年81.36%以上的时 间，处于历史低位。 数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，国证绿色电力指数前十大权重股分别为长江电力、三峡能源、中国核电、国投 ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 2025 年 07 月 21 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 联系人 朱赫 (8621)23297818× zhuhe@swsresearch.com 雅江水电正式开工 欧亚气价回落 看好 ——申万公用环保周报(25/07/14~25/07/18) 本期投资提示： 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 研究支持 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 - ⚫ 电力：雅鲁藏布江下游水电站开工，水电设备双寡头有望直接受益。7 月 19 日国资委发布公告， 经国务院批准，组建中国雅江集团有限公司。同日，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Public Utility Index has shown a slight decline of 0.25% recently, reflecting the overall performance of the public utility sector in the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The Shanghai Public Utility Index closed at 4604.42 points with a trading volume of 31.554 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has increased by 0.35%, while it has risen by 0.89% over the last three months, but has decreased by 3.08% year-to-date [1] Group 2: Index Composition - The index is composed of stocks and depositary receipts from five major industry categories: industrial, commercial, real estate, public utilities, and comprehensive [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include: - Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway (7.69%) - China Nuclear Power (5.42%) - China Unicom (4.79%) - Huaneng Water Power (4.79%) - Shanghai Port Group (3.78%) - Daqin Railway (3.66%) - Three Gorges Energy (3.48%) - China Communications Construction (2.99%) - China Railway Construction (2.68%) - Air China (2.64%) [1] Group 3: Industry Breakdown - The industry composition of the index shows that industrials account for 51.38%, public utilities for 33.99%, communication services for 8.94%, consumer discretionary for 1.76%, energy for 1.69%, materials for 1.00%, financials for 0.84%, and real estate for 0.39% [2] Group 4: Index Sample Management - Stocks are included in the index based on their market capitalization ranking in the Shanghai market, with specific rules for inclusion and exclusion based on risk warnings and corporate actions [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the public utility sector, indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant improvements in coal-fired power profitability due to a notable decrease in coal prices, with a 25.5% year-on-year drop in the average spot price of 5500 kcal thermal coal [2]. - Hydropower performance varies across regions, with major hydropower companies in Sichuan and Yunnan showing increased generation hours, leading to a strong performance in the first half of 2025 [2]. - Nuclear power generation is expected to grow steadily with the expansion of new units and ongoing approvals for additional reactors, ensuring long-term growth potential [2]. - Natural gas consumption faced short-term pressure but is anticipated to recover in the medium to long term as costs decrease and residential gas prices adjust [2]. Summary by Sections Coal Power - In Q2 2025, the average utilization hours for coal-fired power plants decreased by 118 hours year-on-year, but profitability is expected to improve due to lower coal prices [2]. - Companies like Jingneng Power and Jiantou Energy reported over 100% growth in net profit for the first half of 2025 [2]. Hydropower - National hydropower utilization hours reached 1023 hours from January to May 2025, a decrease of 70 hours year-on-year, but major hydropower companies reported significant increases in generation [2]. - Companies such as China Yangtze Power and Huaneng Hydropower saw their hydropower generation increase by 5.01% and 10.93% respectively in the first half of 2025 [2]. Nuclear Power - Nuclear power generation for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power increased by 12.01% and 6.11% respectively in the first half of 2025 [2]. - The approval of new nuclear units is expected to support future growth, with 10 new units approved in April 2025 [2]. Natural Gas - Natural gas consumption in China decreased by 1.3% year-on-year in the first five months of 2025, but there is an upward trend in terminal consumption [2]. - The report anticipates a recovery in natural gas prices due to increased LNG exports from major producing regions [2]. Performance Forecast - The report forecasts significant profit growth for key companies in the public utility sector for the first half of 2025, with various companies expected to see net profit growth rates ranging from 0% to over 100% [2][3]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies with strong growth potential in hydropower, nuclear power, and natural gas sectors [2].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market appears vibrant but is experiencing underlying issues, with significant capital outflows and a lack of strong participation from various sectors [3][5][12]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3532 points, but there was a net outflow of 2.4 billion yuan from major funds, indicating a hidden struggle beneath the surface [3]. - The banking sector showed strength, with Guiyang Bank rising by 4% and Postal Savings Bank increasing by 2.22%, but this was not supported by other sectors, leading to a lack of overall market momentum [3][12]. - The brokerage sector faced disappointment, with a 0.27% average decline, and the critical 5-day moving average at 2087 points is at risk [3][12]. Trading Volume and Market Dynamics - The trading volume in the Shanghai market was only 41 billion yuan, down by over 5 billion yuan compared to the previous Friday, indicating insufficient capital for sustained index growth [5]. - The market is showing a bifurcation, with small-cap stocks like Guangsheng Nonferrous and Silver Star Energy performing well, while other sectors remain sluggish [7]. Policy Impact - Positive policies are still in play, such as Indonesia's nickel export restrictions boosting energy metal stocks, but the impact is less widespread than before [9]. - The financial technology and AI sectors, previously favored by policies, are now underperforming as funds shift towards traditional industries [9]. Sector Analysis - The power sector is emerging as a "second battlefield," with stocks like Yangtze Power and Huaneng Hydropower showing resilience, indicating a potential safe haven for investors during market volatility [12]. - Insurance stocks, particularly China Life and China Pacific Insurance, have shown stability, with reports of significant ETF purchases by insurance giants, suggesting a cautious outlook on the broader market [11]. Key Support Levels - The critical support level for the index is at 3513 points, with 3521 points acting as a dividing line for market strength [12]. - The afternoon trading session will hinge on whether the banking sector can break through the 4626-point resistance and if the brokerage sector can maintain the 2079-point support [14].

电力设备与新能源行业 证券研究报告 |报告类型 2025/07/13 云南省清洁能源深度（一）—— 资源赋能水电大省，国际清洁能源枢纽 证券分析师: 刘强 分析师登记编号: S1190522080001 证券分析师: 钟欣材 分析师登记编号: S1190524110004 P2 报告摘要 1、自然资源充沛，水风光具有优越的发展条件，光伏装机增速亮眼 云南省水能资源丰富，省内河流众多，全省水资源总量2141亿立方米（多年平均值），居全国第3位。太阳能资源较丰 富，仅次于西藏、青海、内蒙古等省。充沛的自然资源为云南省清洁能源发展提供了优越的条件。截止2024年末，云南 省水电、光伏累计装机量达83.60、39.16GW，水电装机稳步增长，光伏装机增速亮眼。 2、时空互补保障消纳，消纳能力提升有望进一步打开清洁能源装机空间 云南省重视消纳保障，积极推进新型储能示范性项目建设、抽蓄项目核准。截止2025年5月13日，云南核准抽水蓄能电 站4座，总计装机容量约5.9GW，为消纳提供强有力保障。同时电站开发环节，积极推挤水风光多能互补，平滑日度、季 度发电曲线。 3、持续疏通西电东送+跨境输送，构建国际清洁能源枢纽 20 ...

华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司 证券代码：600025 证券简称：华能水电 公告编号：2025-047 2025 年度第六期绿色科技创新债券 和第七期绿色科技创新债券发行公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、发行基本情况 华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司（以下简称公司）已于近日完成了 2025 年度 第六期绿色科技创新债券和第七期绿色科技创新债券的发行，发行额分别为人民 币 10 亿元、20 亿元，发行利率分别为 1.50%、1.88%，期限分别为 198 天、3 年 +N，单位面值均为 100 元人民币。本次发行完成后，公司短期融资券（含超短期 融资券）余额为人民币 52 亿元，中期票据（含永续中票）余额为人民币 180 亿 元。 2025 年度第六期绿色科技创新债券由中国银行股份有限公司作为牵头主承 销商，中国农业银行股份有限公司作为联席主承销商。第七期绿色科技创新债券 由中国建设银行股份有限公司作为牵头主承销商，中国工商银行股份有限公司和 中国银行股份有限公司作为联席主承销商，通过簿记建档、集中配售的方式在全 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The increase in renewable energy consumption responsibility weight is expected to generate an additional demand of approximately 510 billion kilowatt-hours of new energy by 2025 [2][6][19] - The transition of the aluminum electrolysis industry from monitoring to assessment will significantly boost the demand for non-hydropower green certificates, estimated at around 150 million certificates [7][26] - The inclusion of four major energy-consuming industries (steel, cement, polysilicon, and data centers) into monitoring is projected to create a potential demand for approximately 800 million non-hydropower green certificates [8][29] Summary by Sections Renewable Energy Consumption Responsibility Weight - The responsibility weight for renewable energy consumption will significantly increase in 2025, with unfulfilled portions not carried over to the next year. The new policy mandates that the responsibility weight must be completed within the year [6][17] - The "Three North" regions have a higher responsibility weight, with provinces like Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Jilin, Heilongjiang, and Qinghai set at 30%, while regions like Shanghai and Guangdong remain below 15% [18] Electrolytic Aluminum Green Power Consumption - The green power consumption ratio for the electrolytic aluminum industry will shift from monitoring to assessment in 2025, leading to a significant increase in demand for non-hydropower green certificates [7][26] - The estimated demand for non-hydropower green certificates from the electrolytic aluminum sector is about 150 million certificates due to the new assessment requirements [26] Expansion of Monitoring to Other Industries - The addition of steel, cement, polysilicon, and data centers into the monitoring framework is expected to create a substantial potential demand for green certificates, estimated at around 800 million certificates [8][29] - The projected total demand from these sectors could reach approximately 980 billion kilowatt-hours of new energy, accounting for about 53% of the 2024 new energy volume [34] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand side is expected to expand significantly due to the assessment of the electrolytic aluminum industry and the inclusion of new energy-consuming sectors, while the supply side will see a reduction in the issuance of green certificates due to policy changes [8][34] - The overall market dynamics are anticipated to shift from a surplus supply to a more balanced state, providing long-term support for green certificate prices [8][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The issuance of renewable energy power consumption responsibility weights for 2025 mandates green electricity consumption in five major industries, which is expected to alleviate renewable energy consumption issues [3][11] - The assessment scope has expanded to include steel, cement, polysilicon, and data centers, enhancing the focus on energy-intensive industries [3][12] - The provincial assessment targets for renewable energy consumption responsibility weights will range from 24.2% to 70% in 2025, with 19 provinces aiming for over 30% [3][15] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The electricity and public utilities index rose by 1.60% during the week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.78 percentage points [5][55] - The report highlights that over half of the listed companies in the electricity and public utilities sector experienced stock price increases [55] Key Industry Insights - The coal price has rebounded to 627 CNY/ton [13] - The inflow and outflow of water at the Three Gorges Dam decreased by 17.86% and 24.19% year-on-year, respectively [31] - The price of silicon materials remained stable, while mainstream silicon wafer prices decreased slightly [39] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the electricity sector due to the high temperatures across the country and the upcoming performance period [3] - Recommended stocks include Huaneng International, Jiantou Energy, Huadian International, and Qingda Environmental Protection, which are expected to have resilient quarterly earnings [3] - Emphasis on undervalued green electricity operators, particularly in Hong Kong and wind power sectors, such as Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [3][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the renewable energy power consumption responsibility weights for 2025 have been issued, indicating a focus on increasing the use of green electricity in various industries [5] - The LNG import volume in May 2025 decreased by 26.3% year-on-year, while domestic natural gas consumption showed a slight increase of 2.4% [5] - The report suggests that the power sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment due to previous supply-demand tensions [5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 11, the utility sector rose by 1.1%, outperforming the broader market, with the electricity sector up by 1.10% and the gas sector up by 1.22% [4][12] - Key companies in the electricity sector showed varied performance, with notable increases for companies like Guikuan Electric and Guangdong Electric A [13] Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) increased by 8 CNY/ton week-on-week, reaching 624 CNY/ton [4][21] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port decreased to 5.6 million tons, down 100,000 tons week-on-week [26] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces was reported at 3.55 million tons, a decrease of 95,000 tons/day week-on-week [28] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was reported at 4,460 CNY/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 1.13% but a week-on-week increase of 1.09% [48] - The European TTF spot price increased by 23.0% year-on-year, reaching 11.86 USD/MMBtu [53] - Domestic natural gas apparent consumption in May 2025 was 36.42 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [5] Industry News - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued guidelines for renewable energy consumption responsibilities, emphasizing the use of green electricity in high-energy-consuming industries [5] - The largest medium and shallow coalbed methane field in China has surpassed a cumulative gas production of 20 billion cubic meters [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on national coal power leaders such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International, as well as regional leaders in tight supply areas [5] - For natural gas, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are expected to benefit from market conditions [5]