Long Ping High-Tech(000998) 国信证券·2024-11-04 02:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][11]. Core Views - The company's overseas business has declined, leading to increased foreign exchange losses and short-term pressure on profitability. For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.881 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.46%, primarily due to intensified competition in the domestic and international corn seed markets and persistently low grain prices. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -475 million yuan, a year-on-year improvement of 17.82%, mainly benefiting from investment income from the equity transaction of Longping Bio. The non-recurring net profit attributable to the parent company was -874 million yuan, a year-on-year increase in loss of 113.21% [1][5][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 299 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 41.33% and a year-on-year decrease of 60.27%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -587 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1805.18% and a year-on-year decrease of 40.49% [1][5]. - For the 2023/2024 operating year, total seed revenue was 8.736 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.55%, with total sales volume of 293 million kilograms, a year-on-year increase of 6.96%. Corn seed sales revenue was 5.492 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.83%, accounting for 62.87% of total sales [1][5]. Expense Analysis - The company experienced a significant increase in expenses, with sales expenses for Q1-Q3 2024 amounting to 493 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.91%, resulting in a sales expense ratio of 17.10%. Management expenses were 651 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.24%, with a management expense ratio of 22.61%. R&D expenses were 440 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.19%, with an R&D expense ratio of 21.25%. Financial expenses increased by 73.03% year-on-year to 609 million yuan, leading to a financial expense ratio of 21.15% [1][5][6]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin decreased by 12.56 percentage points year-on-year to 28.24%, while the net profit margin decreased by 6.68 percentage points to -29.72% [1][6][7]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 to 370 million, 620 million, and 730 million yuan respectively, with earnings per share projected at 0.28, 0.47, and 0.55 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 40, 23, and 20 times [1][5][8].