SCSF(600779) Guoyuan Securities·2024-11-04 08:00Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company reported steady revenue growth with a total income of 3.788 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a 5.56% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.125 billion yuan, up 10.03% [2] - The sales of mid-range products have seen significant growth, while high-end products are undergoing inventory adjustments [2] - The company is experiencing stable sales growth, with a slight decrease in average selling prices [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company's revenue from high-end and mid-range products was 3.457 billion yuan and 196 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 1.39% and 41.05% [2] - The company sold 8.6 million liters of liquor in the first three quarters, a 4.71% increase year-on-year, with an average price of 212.39 yuan per 500ml, down 1.69% [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 82.94%, a decrease of 0.25 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 1.20 percentage points to 29.70% [2] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.380 billion yuan, 1.471 billion yuan, and 1.593 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.80%, 6.59%, and 8.23% [3] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the company are 16, 15, and 14 times for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3] Market Dynamics - Domestic revenue for the company was 3.601 billion yuan, a 2.39% increase year-on-year, while international revenue reached 51 million yuan, up 65.43% [2] - The average selling price for domestic products was higher than that of international products, indicating a strong domestic market presence [2]