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万辰集团:公司事件点评报告:跑马圈地进行中,收购少数股权增厚利润

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has significantly increased its revenue, achieving 20.613 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 321%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 0.84 billion yuan, a turnaround from a loss of 0.57 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - The company is actively expanding its store network, particularly in advantageous regions such as the Yangtze River Delta and North China, which is expected to enhance its market presence and profitability [1] - The report highlights the recovery in edible mushroom prices and the continuous expansion of the snack wholesale business, which is contributing to revenue growth [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 9.698 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 261%, with the snack wholesale business contributing 9.554 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 60% [1] - The gross profit margin improved by 3 percentage points to 10.32%, driven by business structure optimization and scale effects [1] - The report projects the company's EPS for 2024-2026 to be 1.09, 2.59, and 4.17 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 64, 27, and 17 times [1][3] Market Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its store network, particularly in regions with lower competition and higher consumer demand for snacks, which is expected to drive further growth [1] - The report notes that the company is enhancing its supply chain efficiency and digital management, which will likely improve its profitability in the medium to long term [1] Profitability Forecast - The report anticipates a strong improvement in net profit margins due to the company's leading position in the snack wholesale industry and its aggressive store expansion strategy [1] - The projected growth rates for the company's main revenue and net profit from 2023 to 2026 are 1592.0%, 236.1%, 49.2%, and 24.8% respectively for revenue, and a turnaround from a loss to profits of 196 million yuan in 2024, 465 million yuan in 2025, and 749 million yuan in 2026 [3][4]