xinje(603416) 海通证券·2024-11-04 11:11Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved steady growth in both traditional and emerging industries, with a 11.93% YoY increase in revenue and a 12.69% YoY increase in net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2024 [4] - The company's gross margin improved by 4.94 percentage points YoY to 38.60% in the first three quarters of 2024 [4] - The company's period expense ratio increased by 2.65 percentage points YoY to 25.16% in the first three quarters of 2024, with increases in sales, R&D, management, and financial expense ratios [4] - In Q3 2024, the company's revenue increased by 13.91% YoY, but net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 5.89% YoY, mainly due to a 3.44 percentage point increase in the period expense ratio and a decrease in non-recurring gains and losses [4] - The company is developing into an integrated solution provider, leveraging its advantages in the small PLC market to expand into medium PLC and other industrial control products, while accelerating its expansion in new energy and high-end intelligent manufacturing industries [4] - The company has formed a comprehensive product line of servo systems, covering the needs of both traditional and emerging industries [4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was RMB 1.21 billion, with a gross margin of 38.60% and net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 174 million [4] - In Q3 2024, the company's revenue was RMB 413 million, with a gross margin of 38.81% and net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 48 million [4] - The company's period expense ratio in Q3 2024 was 27.64%, an increase of 3.44 percentage points YoY [4] - The company's sales expense ratio in Q3 2024 was 11.40%, an increase of 2.49 percentage points YoY [4] - The company's management expense ratio in Q3 2024 was 5.72%, an increase of 0.70 percentage points YoY [4] - The company's R&D expense ratio in Q3 2024 was 10.44%, a decrease of 0.03 percentage points YoY [4] - The company's financial expense ratio in Q3 2024 was 0.07%, an increase of 0.28 percentage points YoY [4] Financial Forecasts - The company's revenue is expected to be RMB 1.727 billion in 2024, RMB 2.126 billion in 2025, and RMB 2.637 billion in 2026, with YoY growth rates of 14.8%, 23.1%, and 24.0% respectively [6] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be RMB 239 million in 2024, RMB 302 million in 2025, and RMB 388 million in 2026, with YoY growth rates of 20.0%, 26.4%, and 28.5% respectively [6] - The company's EPS is expected to be RMB 1.70 in 2024, RMB 2.15 in 2025, and RMB 2.76 in 2026 [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to be 37.9% in 2024, 38.0% in 2025, and 38.2% in 2026 [6] - The company's ROE is expected to be 10.2% in 2024, 11.4% in 2025, and 12.8% in 2026 [6] Valuation - The report gives the company a 2024 PE range of 25-30X, with a reasonable price range of RMB 42.5-51, maintaining an "Outperform" rating [4] Industry Comparison - The average PE ratio of comparable companies is 166.01X [9]