证 券 研 究 报 告 机械行业周报（20250714-20250720） 推荐（维持） 关注新技术方向：AI 设备耗材及人形机器人 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 汇川技术 | 65.19 | 2.12 | 2.55 | 3.01 | 30.78 | 25.59 | 21.65 | 5.34 | 强推 | | 法兰泰克 | 9.66 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.94 | 16.11 | 12.63 | 10.24 | 2.19 | 强推 | | 信捷电气 | 58.60 | 1.83 | 2.30 | 2.78 | 31.97 | 25.51 | 21.07 | 3.69 | 强推 | | 欧科亿 | 19.46 | 0.71 | 1.02 | 1.25 | 27.59 | ...

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a new round of market momentum driven by advancements in robotics, particularly in humanoid robots, with a projected global demand of approximately 2 million units by 2030 [4][19] - Key recommended stocks include Xinjie Electric, Beite Technology, Hanwei Technology, Zhaowei Electromechanical, Hengli Hydraulic, and Nuwei Co., among others [2][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of tracking the humanoid robot sector, which is entering a critical growth phase [3][4] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see significant growth, with major projects and partnerships emerging, such as the procurement project by China Mobile for humanoid biped robots worth 124 million [9][19] - Companies like Tesla and Figure are ramping up production, with Figure planning to increase its humanoid robot output by three times in the upcoming months [10][19] Photovoltaic Equipment - The report notes an accelerated penetration of N-type technology, enhancing the competitive edge of leading companies in the sector [20] - It suggests focusing on companies that are innovating in cost-reduction technologies and expanding production capacity [20] Energy Storage - The energy storage sector is poised for growth due to favorable policies and increasing demand from both generation and user sides [20] - Key players in this space include companies involved in lithium battery systems and integrated storage solutions [20] Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment market is projected to reach 140 billion by 2030, with a growing share from domestic manufacturers [4][20] Automation - The automation market is expected to grow significantly, with a market size of approximately 40 billion, projected to reach 55.7 billion by 2026 [4][20] Hydrogen Energy - The report highlights the potential of green hydrogen in achieving carbon neutrality, with a focus on companies that have integrated hydrogen production capabilities [21] Engineering Machinery - The report suggests monitoring leading companies in the engineering machinery sector, emphasizing those with product, scale, and cost advantages [4][20]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Xinjie Electric with a "Buy" rating, based on a target price of 67.64 RMB, reflecting a 2025 PE average of 38 times for comparable companies [1][6][8]. Core Views - Xinjie Electric is positioned as a leading domestic industrial control enterprise, with a solid foundation in PLC and servo systems. The company is actively expanding into semiconductor and humanoid robot sectors, which are expected to drive continued upward performance [1][19]. - The semiconductor sector has introduced the DL6 series direct-drive servo, targeting equipment like die bonders, and has established partnerships with clients such as Huaxing Yuan Chuang and Xinyi Chang. In the humanoid robot field, the company is developing core components and leveraging the Wuxi industrial cluster to accelerate growth [2][19]. - The company has a robust small PLC market presence, achieving a market share increase of 2.0 percentage points in 2024, ranking third in the domestic market. It is also expanding into mid-to-large PLCs, focusing on high-end manufacturing needs [3][20]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company has over 25 years of experience in the industrial control sector, leveraging its PLC technology to drive growth in servo systems and other products, forming a dual-driven business structure [19][25]. - The report emphasizes the company's proactive approach in emerging sectors, particularly in semiconductors and humanoid robots, which are expected to significantly enhance revenue potential [19][20]. Control Layer - Xinjie Electric has solidified its position in the small PLC market, with a focus on high cost-performance and rapid service, leading to a market share increase despite industry fluctuations [3][20]. - The company is actively developing mid-to-large PLCs, with a focus on new energy and semiconductor industries, and is investing in redundancy technology to enhance product offerings [3][20]. Drive Layer - The PLC and servo sales strategy has shown significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31% from 2018 to 2024. The servo market share has increased to 3.7% in 2024, positioning the company as the second-largest in mainland China [4][20]. - The company is expanding its product matrix and enhancing its solution capabilities, with a current PLC to servo sales ratio of 1.5:1, indicating room for growth [4][20]. Financial Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 279.4 million, 339.5 million, and 406.17 million RMB, respectively, with a target price based on a 38 times PE ratio [6][12].

【市场复盘】 周一（2025年6月23日），截至收盘，科创人工智能ETF华夏（589010）收跌0.72%，持仓股方面，恒玄 科技下跌5.46%领跌，澜起科技下跌4.36%、石头科技下跌3.62%跌幅靠前；机器人ETF（562500）收涨 0.50%，持仓股方面，东杰智能涨10.47%领涨，天智航涨7.27%、快克智能涨3.04%涨幅靠前。当日交易 金额3.59亿元，居相同标的ETF首位，市场成交活跃，流动性佳。 中国银河证券表示，A股当前估值处于历史中等水平，且相较海外成熟市场偏低，风险溢价和股息率具 备较高投资性价比。在政策推动中长期资金入市、权益类公募基金扩容及政策工具护航下，A股资金面 有望延续稳中向好态势。2025年下半年，A股整体将呈现震荡向上的行情特征，但需关注海外不确定性 因素与国内经济修复节奏的扰动。科技创新是推动A股新供给侧改革的核心动力，TMT板块拥挤度回落 至低位，一季度景气度回暖，细分行业资本开支加速。建议关注AI算力、AI应用、具身智能、创新药 等方向。同时，安全资产如红利板块具备防御属性，央企高股息标的与中长期资金配置需求高度契合， 值得关注。 【热门ETF】 机器人ETF（56 ...

Core Viewpoint - Wuxi Xinjie Electric Co., Ltd. announced that its controlling shareholder, Mr. Li Xin, has partially lifted the pledge on his shares, indicating a potential positive signal regarding the company's financial health and shareholder confidence [1]. Summary by Sections Share Pledge Release Details - Mr. Li Xin holds 49,046,593 shares, representing 31.21% of the total share capital of the company - He has released 2,640,000 shares from pledge, which accounts for 5.38% of his holdings and 1.68% of the company's total share capital - The release of the pledge occurred on June 17, 2025, and he currently has 18,680,000 shares pledged, which is 38.09% of his holdings and 11.89% of the company's total share capital [1]. Current Pledge Situation - As of the announcement date, Mr. Li Xin's cumulative pledge situation is as follows: - Total pledged shares before the release: 21,320,000 - Total pledged shares after the release: 18,680,000 - The remaining pledged shares represent 38.09% of his total holdings and 11.89% of the company's total share capital [2].

公司于 2025 年 6 月 18 日获悉控股股东、实际控制人李新先生将原质押给中 原信托有限公司的 2,640,000 股办理了部分解除证券质押登记手续，具体情况如 下： | 股东名称 | 李新 | | --- | --- | | 本次解除质押股份 | 2,640,000 股 | | 占其所持股份比例 | 5.38% | | 占公司总股本比例 | 1.68% | | 解除质押时间 | 2025 年 6 月 17 日 | | 持股数量 | 49,046,593 股 | 1 证券代码：603416 证券简称:信捷电气 公告编号：2025-031 无锡信捷电气股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股份解除质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 无锡信捷电气股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东、实际控制人 李新先生持有本公司股份 49,046,593 股，占公司总股本比例 31.21%。李新先生 本次解除质押股份 2,640,000 股，解除质押股份数量占其所持股份的比例为 5.38%，占公司总股本比 ...

Core Points - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.87 CNY per share for A shares [1][2] - The record date for the dividend distribution is June 20, 2025, with the ex-dividend date on June 23, 2025 [3][4] - The total number of shares eligible for the dividend is 156,866,190 shares after excluding repurchased shares [2][3] Dividend Distribution Plan - The profit distribution plan was approved at the annual general meeting on May 16, 2025 [1] - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to approximately 136.47 million CNY [2] - The calculation for the ex-dividend reference price is based on the formula: (previous closing price - cash dividend) [3] Tax Implications - For individual shareholders holding shares for over one year, the cash dividend is exempt from personal income tax [5] - For shares held for less than one year, tax will be withheld upon transfer of the shares [5] - The actual cash dividend for QFII shareholders after tax is 0.783 CNY per share [6] Distribution Method - Cash dividends will be distributed through the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation [4][7] - Shareholders who have not completed designated transactions will have their dividends held by the clearing company until the transaction is completed [4]

一、本次差异化分红的原因 2024 年 1 月 5 日，公司召开第四届董事会第十二次会议，审议通过了《关 于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份方案的议案》，同意公司以自有资金通过上 海证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式回购公司已发行的部分人民币普通 股（A 股）股票，回购股份拟用于员工持股计划或股权激励，回购价格不超过人 民币 56.73 元/股（含），回购资金总额不低于人民币 2,500 万元（含），不超过人 民币 4,000 万元（含），回购期限自董事会审议通过回购方案之日起 12 个月内。 截止 2025 年 5 月 30 日，公司回购专用账户中的公司股票数量为 272,443 股。 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》《上海证券交易所 上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号——回购股份》等相关法律法规、规范性文件以及 《公司章程》的规定，公司回购专用账户中的股份，不享有股东大会表决权、利 润分配等权力。基于上述情况，公司 2024 年度权益分派实施差异化分红。 二、本次差异分红方案 中泰证券股份有限公司 关于无锡信捷电气股份有限公司 差异化分红事项的核查意见 中泰证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中泰 ...

证券代码：603416 证券简称：信捷电气 公告编号：2025-030 无锡信捷电气股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.87元 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/20 | － | 2025/6/23 | 2025/6/23 | 差异化分红送转： 是 一、 通过分配方案的股东大会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 16 日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 第 7 号——回购股份》等有关规定，公司存放于回购专用证券账户中的股份不参 与本次利润分配。 3、 差异化分红送转方案： 根据公司 2024 年年度股东大会审议通过的《关于 2024 年利润分配预案及 2025 年中期分红方案的议案》，公司以实施权益分派股权登记日登记的总股本为基 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese programmable logic controller (PLC) market is projected to reach 17.66 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.45% [1][11] - The demand structure indicates a divergence in the market, with traditional industries experiencing weakness while emerging sectors show significant growth [1][11] - Key sectors driving demand include traditional heavy industries like automotive, power, metallurgy, and transportation, alongside emerging fields such as renewable energy and lithium battery production [1][11] Industry Overview - PLCs are digital electronic systems designed for industrial environments, capable of executing various control tasks through programmable memory [1][4] - The PLC industry has evolved through four main stages: initial development, application introduction, domestic production growth, and deep localization [4][5][6] Industry Development History - The initial development phase began in the mid-1970s, with the first PLCs being developed and applied in China [4] - The 1990s saw a heavy reliance on imported PLCs, with domestic production lagging due to high costs and long return periods [5] - The early 2000s marked a surge in demand driven by manufacturing growth, leading to the entry of domestic players into the PLC market [5] - Recent years have seen a focus on self-sufficiency and the development of core technologies in response to international pressures [6] Industry Supply Chain - The upstream supply chain includes essential components such as chips, electronic components, and integrated circuits, with chips being the core part affecting PLC performance [8] - The downstream applications span various industries, including power, metallurgy, chemicals, and transportation [9] Current Industry Status - The PLC market is experiencing strong growth, driven by industrial automation needs, with a projected market size of 17.66 billion yuan in 2024 [11] - Demand is increasing in traditional sectors while emerging industries like semiconductor manufacturing and industrial robotics are also contributing to market growth [11][13] Key Companies - Major foreign brands like Siemens, Mitsubishi, and Omron dominate the high-end market, while domestic brands are gaining traction in the small PLC segment [15] - Companies such as Inovance Technology and Zhong控 Technology are notable players, focusing on innovation and market penetration [16][18] Industry Trends - The PLC market is expected to continue growing, driven by demand in sectors like renewable energy and smart grids [20] - Technological advancements will lead to smarter, more integrated PLC systems capable of real-time optimization and enhanced compatibility with other devices [21][22] - The application of PLCs is expanding into new areas such as smart transportation and environmental management, reflecting changing market needs [23]