XCMG(000425) Huaxin Securities·2024-11-04 12:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1][3]. Core Views - The company has shown a continuous improvement in profitability, with a notable increase in net profit by 9.71% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024 [1]. - The engineering machinery industry is approaching a turning point, with the company positioned to benefit from increased demand due to government projects and equipment upgrades [1]. - The company's overseas revenue has been steadily increasing, accounting for 44.13% of total revenue in the first half of 2024, which is expected to enhance overall profitability [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 687.26 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.11% year-on-year, while net profit reached 53.09 billion yuan, an increase of 9.71% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 190.93 billion yuan, down 6.37% year-on-year, with a net profit of 16.03 billion yuan, up 28.28% year-on-year [1][2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 25.54%, an increase of 2.53 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 8.31%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.95 percentage points [2]. Revenue Forecast - The company is projected to generate revenues of 988.58 billion yuan, 1,103.92 billion yuan, and 1,262.99 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.55 yuan, 0.68 yuan, and 0.89 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.9, 12.0, and 9.2 [3].