Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 38.49% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024, achieving a total revenue of 5.728 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 3.11% year-on-year to 278 million yuan [5][7] - The company is expected to recover its profit margins in the future, despite facing short-term pressure due to increased shipping costs, which have risen by 57% year-on-year as indicated by the Baltic Dry Index [6][7] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 390 million yuan, 494 million yuan, and 591 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with a forecasted decline of 5.5% in 2024 followed by growth in subsequent years [7][11] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.007 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.49%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 106 million yuan, up 5.44% year-on-year [5] - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 35.10%, a decrease of 1.76 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 4.85%, down 2.08 percentage points year-on-year [6][11] - The company’s total revenue is expected to reach 8.053 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 32.6% [8][9] Valuation and Comparison - The current closing price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 and 16 times for 2024 and 2025, respectively. The estimated fair value range for the company is between 22.36 and 23.33 yuan based on a P/E ratio of 23 to 24 times for 2024 [7][10] - The company is compared with peers in the cross-border e-commerce sector, with an average P/E ratio of 20.1 for similar companies [10]
致欧科技：公司季报点评：24Q3收入实现快速增长，静待利润修复