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华能水电:电量下滑致Q3业绩承压,持续看好风光水储一体化发展

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaneng Hydropower is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Q3 performance was under pressure due to a decline in electricity generation, but the long-term outlook remains positive, particularly for the integrated development of wind, solar, and hydropower storage [1] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 19.418 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.226 billion yuan, up 7.07% year-on-year [1] - The report highlights that the decline in electricity generation was primarily due to reduced water inflow and the impact of new depreciation costs from the newly commissioned Toba Hydropower Station [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 7.537 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.27% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.056 billion yuan, down 8.27% year-on-year [1] - The total electricity generation for the first three quarters of 2024 decreased by 5.64% year-on-year, with a notable decline in existing hydropower stations' output [1] - The report projects that the company's net profit for 2024, 2025, and 2026 will be 8.60 billion, 9.48 billion, and 10.34 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.5%, 10.3%, and 9.1% [1][8] Market Outlook - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the company's clean energy business, particularly through the integration of wind, solar, and hydropower storage [1] - The company plans to enhance its hydropower capacity significantly, with approximately 50% growth potential remaining as of the end of 2023 [1] - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook for the company's integrated development strategy, despite short-term performance pressures [1]