SKSHU(603737) 西南证券·2024-11-05 07:10Investment Rating - The report does not specify a clear investment rating for the company Core Views - The company, SanKeShu (603737), is a leading domestic paint manufacturer facing temporary performance pressure, with a 2.8% year-on-year decline in total revenue to 9.15 billion yuan and a 26.0% drop in net profit attributable to shareholders to 410 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2024 [1][2] - Despite the challenges, the company has improved its market share in key product segments, with significant revenue growth in home decoration wall paint (+14.1%) and waterproof membranes (+13.0%) [2][4] - The company is expected to benefit from favorable policies in the real estate sector, which may lead to a recovery in downstream demand and a potential rebound in sales prices [4][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported total revenue of 9.15 billion yuan, down 2.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 410 million yuan, down 26.0% [1] - The third quarter alone saw revenue of 3.39 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.9% year-on-year, with net profit at 200 million yuan, down 17.9% [1] Product Performance - Revenue growth varied by product: home decoration wall paint at 2.23 billion yuan (+14.1%), engineering wall paint at 2.98 billion yuan (-12.5%), base materials and auxiliary materials at 1.88 billion yuan (+4.2%), and waterproof membranes at 1.00 billion yuan (+13.0%) [2] - Sales prices for key products faced pressure, with engineering wall paint down 10.0% and base materials down 21.1% [2] Profitability - The gross margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 28.7% due to declining sales prices [3] - The net profit margin fell by 1.5 percentage points to 4.4%, indicating pressure on profitability [3] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand and marketing channels, aiming for a high-end retail transformation and expanding into potential markets such as rural revitalization and e-commerce [4][11] - The company has a strong competitive advantage in the paint industry, with a comprehensive product matrix and a focus on core business areas [4][8] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.2% in revenue and 76.5% in net profit from 2024 to 2026, driven by a recovery in downstream demand and stabilization of sales prices [4][21] - The report highlights the potential for growth in the context of urban renewal and old community renovations, supported by government policies [4][13]