NovelBeam Technology(688677) 国元证券·2024-11-05 09:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7] Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit declined in the first three quarters of 2024 due to inventory reduction by its core customer Stryker However the impact is gradually weakening and order volumes are expected to recover [2][3] - The company's third-quarter performance showed a narrowing decline with Q3 revenue of 98 million yuan down 9 39% YoY and net profit of 27 million yuan down 7 00% YoY [3] - The company's overseas factory construction is progressing smoothly with the Thailand factory expected to apply for capacity expansion by the end of the year Domestic promotion of self-branded equipment is also poised for full commercialization in 2025 [4] - The company's gross margin remained stable at 65 74% in Q1-3 2024 while net margin slightly decreased to 30 26% [3] Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2024 the company achieved revenue of 319 million yuan down 15 30% YoY and net profit of 97 million yuan down 17 60% YoY [2] - The company's EPS for Q1-3 2024 was 0 81 yuan [2] - The company's operating efficiency remained stable with a gross margin of 65 74% (+1 64pct) and a net margin of 30 26% (-0 52pct) in Q1-3 2024 [3] - The company's sales expense ratio increased to 4 91% (+1 43pct) while R&D expense ratio rose to 14 80% (+0 39pct) [3] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 442 million yuan 545 million yuan and 676 million yuan in 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [5] - Net profit is projected to be 138 million yuan 195 million yuan and 245 million yuan for 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [5] - EPS is forecasted to be 1 14 yuan/share 1 64 yuan/share and 2 08 yuan/share for 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [5] - The company's PE ratio is expected to be 34x 23x and 18x for 2024 2025 and 2026 respectively [5] Operational Highlights - The company has completed the construction of a light source module production line at its Thailand factory which will help reduce tariff impacts [4] - The domestic distribution system for self-branded equipment has been established with full commercialization expected to begin in 2025 [4] - The company's self-branded equipment sales are expected to significantly improve profitability due to higher gross margins [4]