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晶澳科技:龙头强者恒强,产品盈利扭亏为盈
002459JA SOLAR(002459) 长城证券·2024-11-05 12:41

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price relative to the industry index over the next six months [15]. Core Views - The company has shown resilience in a competitive environment, with its component business turning profitable despite industry challenges. The company achieved a battery component shipment of approximately 57GW in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 51.47% [2]. - The report highlights a recovery in the photovoltaic industry, with the company expected to benefit from improved market conditions and operational stability. The company plans to exceed 100GW in component capacity by the end of the year [3]. - Financial projections indicate that the company will experience a revenue decline in 2024, followed by significant growth in subsequent years, with expected revenues of 739.23 billion yuan in 2024, 823.05 billion yuan in 2025, and 902.72 billion yuan in 2026 [3]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 81,556 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.7%. However, a decline of 9.4% is expected in 2024 [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 7,039 million yuan, with a significant projected loss of 355 million yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 2,573 million yuan in 2025 and 4,674 million yuan in 2026 [1][3]. - The company's operating cash flow for Q3 2024 was 20.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 24.2% increase from the previous quarter, indicating a positive cash flow trend [3].