Jiajiayue(603708) 光大证券·2024-11-06 01:56Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its continuous improvement in supply chain and store optimization [4] Core Views - The company's revenue for 1-3Q2024 increased by 1.78% YoY to 14.127 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.03% YoY to 188 million yuan [1] - In 3Q2024, the company's revenue decreased by 0.49% YoY to 4.765 billion yuan, and net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.71% YoY to 18 million yuan [1] - The gross profit margin for 1-3Q2024 was 23.26%, a decrease of 0.36 percentage points YoY [1] - The operating expense ratio for 1-3Q2024 was 21.33%, an increase of 0.15 percentage points YoY, with sales/management/financial/R&D expense ratios at 17.99%/1.90%/1.36%/0.08% respectively [2] Financial Performance - The company's EPS for 2024E/2025E/2026E is forecasted at 0.19/0.20/0.20 yuan, with ROE (diluted) at 4.74%/4.93%/5.07% [5] - The company's P/E ratio for 2024E/2025E/2026E is forecasted at 59/56/54, and P/B ratio at 2.8/2.8/2.8 [5] - The company's net profit margin for 2024E/2025E/2026E is forecasted at 0.7%/0.7%/0.7% [13] Operational Highlights - As of June 2024, the company had 1,097 stores, including 997 directly operated stores and 100 franchised stores, with 104 Yueji snack stores [3] - The company is strengthening its logistics system with a multi-warehouse layout and improving store efficiency through category structure, product quality, and service optimization [3] Forecast Adjustments - The report lowers the company's net profit forecast for 2024/2025/2026 by 3%/8%/12% to 120/126/130 million yuan due to intense competition in the supermarket industry [4]