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皖新传媒:2024年三季报点评:利润总额稳中有增,业务结构持续调整

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in total profit, while facing revenue pressure, with a total revenue of 8.338 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, down 14.74% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 812 million yuan, a decrease of 17.45% year-on-year. The fluctuation in profit was mainly due to the expiration of tax incentives, but overall profit for the first three quarters increased by 2.25% year-on-year [3]. - The business structure is continuously adjusting, with stable textbook business but a decline in general book business and other segments. The textbook business generated 1.606 billion yuan in revenue, down 1.52% year-on-year, while the general book and audio-visual products business generated 3.577 billion yuan, down 7.35% year-on-year. Other segments saw a significant decline of 26.43% in revenue [3]. - The company is actively promoting digital transformation and upgrading its business model, achieving 370 million yuan in online sales, a year-on-year increase of 34.5%. The "Wanmei Education Platform" saw a significant increase in payments, totaling 730 million yuan, up 120% year-on-year [3]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 817.29 million yuan, with earnings per share (EPS) of 0.41 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18 times. The projections for 2025 and 2026 are net profits of 900.99 million yuan (EPS of 0.45) and 1.00522 billion yuan (EPS of 0.51), with P/E ratios of 17 and 15 respectively [4][8]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 9.938 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 11.61%. The revenue is projected to recover slightly in 2025 and 2026, with expected revenues of 10.344 billion yuan and 10.782 billion yuan respectively [5][10].