BTBP(600161) 华福证券·2024-11-06 16:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the market benchmark index within the next six months [3][11]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.07 billion and a net profit of 1.05 billion for the first three quarters of 2024, with a year-on-year net profit growth of 18.51% [1][2]. - The company experienced a short-term revenue decline of 7.4% in Q3 2024, but the net profit showed a slight increase of 1.57% [2]. - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 2024 were 54.54% and 35.87%, respectively, reflecting an increase of 2.76 percentage points and 3.31 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved operational quality [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 40.7 billion, with a net profit of 10.5 billion and a non-recurring net profit of 10.4 billion [1]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 12.3 billion, a net profit of 3.25 billion, and a non-recurring net profit of 3.20 billion [2]. Market Position - The company maintained its leading position in the domestic market, achieving a plasma collection of 1,294 tons, which accounts for approximately 20% of the total industry collection, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15% [2]. Product Development - The company is advancing its research and development efforts, with several products in the pipeline, including a human fibrinogen product and various coagulation factors, which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [2]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 13.4 billion, 15.6 billion, and 18.3 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 21%, 16%, and 18% [3]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are expected to be 32, 28, and 23 times, respectively [3].