潮宏基2024Q3业绩点评：业绩短期承压，门店逆势扩张

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The rapid increase in gold prices has significantly suppressed the demand for gold jewelry, leading to short-term pressure on the company's performance. However, the company has achieved store expansion against the trend, demonstrating the unique brand appeal. The long-term logic of the industry has changed, but the current valuation level remains low, indicating continued investment value [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2022A: 4,417 - 2023A: 5,900 - 2024E: 6,295 - 2025E: 6,886 - 2026E: 7,608 - Year-on-Year Growth Rate: - 2023A: 34% - 2024E: 7% - 2025E: 9% - 2026E: 10% [2] - Net Profit (in million yuan): - 2022A: 199 - 2023A: 333 - 2024E: 360 - 2025E: 416 - 2026E: 464 - Year-on-Year Growth Rate: - 2023A: 67% - 2024E: 8% - 2025E: 15% - 2026E: 11% [2] - Earnings Per Share (in yuan): - 2022A: 0.22 - 2023A: 0.38 - 2024E: 0.41 - 2025E: 0.47 - 2026E: 0.52 [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully expanded its store count despite a weak market environment, indicating strong brand attraction for franchisees. The key investment logic lies in channel expansion, which is expected to remain unchanged. As consumer spending recovers, the combination of increased single-store profits and store growth is anticipated to yield significant profit elasticity [2][3]