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羚锐制药:Q3业绩增速放缓,坚定看好长期发展

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][5][14] Core Views - The company has shown a slowdown in revenue and profit growth in Q3, attributed to industry disturbances affecting specific products [2][3] - Despite the short-term challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the company's strong brand value and product line, particularly in the orthopedic medication market driven by an aging population [3][5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 574 million yuan, up 23.10% year-on-year [2][3] - Q3 2024 revenue was 853 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.83%, while net profit for the same period was 161 million yuan, up 7.80% year-on-year [2][3] - The gross margin for Q3 was 72.68%, with a net profit margin of 18.85%, both showing a decline compared to the previous quarter [2] Financial Metrics - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.672 billion yuan, 4.153 billion yuan, and 4.660 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.9%, 13.1%, and 12.2% [1][5] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 693 million yuan, 837 million yuan, and 990 million yuan, with growth rates of 22%, 21%, and 18% respectively [1][5] - The report indicates a continuous improvement in financial metrics, with a return on equity (ROE) projected to reach 22.8% in 2024 and 24.1% in 2025 [1][3][8]