GONGNIU(603195) 甬兴证券·2024-11-07 09:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][14]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 5.04% year-on-year increase in Q3 2024, despite a slight slowdown compared to previous quarters. The growth is attributed to the company's diversified business strategy, particularly in smart electrical appliances and new energy sectors [1][3]. - The company's gross margin decreased to 43.47% in Q3 2024, down by 1.18 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to fluctuations in raw material prices. The net profit margin also slightly declined to 24.30% [2][3]. - The company is focusing on innovation and development in three main business areas: electrical connections, smart electrical lighting, and new energy, which are expected to drive future growth despite challenges in the real estate sector [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 12.603 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.58%, and a net profit of 3.263 billion yuan, up 16.00% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 4.217 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.025 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.36% [1][2]. - The company’s sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios for Q3 2024 were 9.19%, 4.31%, 3.60%, and -0.63%, respectively, indicating an increase in sales expenses due to higher marketing investments [2]. Profitability Forecast - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 to 4.333 billion, 4.901 billion, and 5.516 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.35, 3.79, and 4.27 yuan, and PE ratios of 21.77, 19.25, and 17.10 times [3][4]. Market Position - The company maintains a strong brand image in the electrical connection sector, focusing on product innovation to meet diverse consumer needs. The new energy business has also expanded its product lines and channels, contributing to sustained growth [1][3].