SMHC(600131) 浙商证券·2024-11-08 00:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [6] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading energy digitalization innovation enterprise under the State Grid, benefiting from the high prosperity of electricity information investment, with expected steady growth in performance [1][2] - The company has undergone a significant business transformation since its major asset restructuring in 2019, with a focus on energy digitalization and cloud network integration [18][19] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the acceleration of digital and intelligent construction of the power grid, driven by the high demand for new power systems [5][46] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company, formerly known as Minjiang Hydropower, transformed its business through a major asset restructuring in 2019, changing its focus to provide "cloud-network integration" services [18] - The main business segments include digital infrastructure, power digital applications, enterprise digital applications, cutting-edge technology innovation, and energy innovation services, with respective revenue contributions of 52.17%, 29.45%, 8.76%, 5.95%, and 3.66% in the first half of 2024 [2][35] Financial Performance - The company has shown stable revenue growth, with a CAGR of 3.0% from 2020 to 2023 and a CAGR of 10.8% for net profit during the same period [3] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.747 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.89% year-on-year, and a net profit of 298 million yuan, down 13.00% year-on-year [4][32] - The company aims for a revenue target of 8.49 billion yuan in 2024, corresponding to a year-on-year growth of approximately 10.65% [4][32] Market Outlook - The overall investment in the power grid is expected to remain high, with the State Grid planning to exceed 600 billion yuan in investment for 2024, driven by the need for ultra-high voltage projects and digital upgrades [5][46] - The company is positioned as a key player in the digital transformation of the power grid, with strong project experience and customer base advantages [5][46] Profitability and Valuation - The company's gross margin improved to 21.56% in 2023, with a net margin of 10.79%, reflecting ongoing enhancements in profitability [3][38] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 955 million yuan, 1.089 billion yuan, and 1.234 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with expected growth rates of 15.30%, 13.92%, and 13.46% [8][10]