ACCELINK(002281) 兴业证券·2024-11-10 05:34Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.378 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 464 million yuan, up 12.26% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 454 million yuan, marking a 29.97% increase year-on-year [2][3] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.268 billion yuan, which is a 49.99% increase year-on-year and a 24.68% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the quarter was 255 million yuan, up 46.37% year-on-year and 94.49% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The acceleration in the shipment of 400G and 800G high-speed products has significantly boosted revenue, with the gross margin in Q3 increasing by 2.30 percentage points to 25.10%. The net profit margin also improved by 4.41 percentage points to 11.16% due to ongoing cost reduction and efficiency enhancement efforts [3] - The company is actively expanding its domestic and international customer base and is preparing inventory to alleviate material shortages, with Q3 inventory increasing by approximately 1.019 billion yuan to 4.006 billion yuan. It is expected that material shortages will improve in Q4, supporting continued business growth [3] - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2024-2026 projected at 792 million, 1.047 billion, and 1.272 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 45.7, 34.5, and 28.4 times based on the closing price on October 31, 2024 [3][4] Financial Summary - For 2024E, the company is expected to generate a revenue of 7.824 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 29.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 792 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.8% [4] - The gross margin is anticipated to be 23.6% in 2024E, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.8% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.00 yuan in 2024E, with a PE ratio of 45.7 times [4]