中国重汽：3季度行业淡季下盈利能力同比改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.55 yuan, based on a projected average PE of 15 times for comparable companies in 2024 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company's performance met expectations, with a revenue of 33.587 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 934 million yuan, up 42.5% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin and cash flow have shown continuous improvement, with a gross margin of 7.7% for the first three quarters, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities reached 5.011 billion yuan, a 25.3% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company's sales performance outpaced the industry average, with a market share increase to 27.5% in the first three quarters, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year. The fourth quarter is expected to see a sequential improvement in the heavy truck industry [1]. - The new energy heavy truck market is experiencing rapid growth, with sales of 48,500 units in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 143.0%. The company sold 4,629 units, marking a 327.0% increase year-on-year [1]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 42.07 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 46.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1.08 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 405.5% [4][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are forecasted to be 1.17, 1.50, and 1.83 yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2][4]. - The gross margin is expected to improve to 8.5% in 2024, with a net profit margin projected at 2.8% [4][7].