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明阳电气:公司季报点评:业绩持续稳增,海风变压器有望上量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company has shown continuous revenue growth, with a 23.52% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2024, reaching 4.09 billion yuan, and a 37.56% increase in net profit, amounting to 436 million yuan [6][9] - The company is expanding its product line, particularly in transformers, with significant revenue contributions from box-type substations and transformers, which saw year-on-year increases of 17.01% and 52.58%, respectively [7] - The company has successfully launched new products, including a 72.5kV environmentally friendly gas-insulated switchgear, enhancing its competitive edge in offshore wind power [7] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.85% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.44% [6] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 23.05%, with a net profit margin of 10.65%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.13 percentage points and 1.09 percentage points, respectively [6] - The company’s operating cash flow turned positive in Q3 2024, with a net cash flow of 280 million yuan, compared to a negative cash flow in the previous quarters [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2024 and 2025 are 632 million yuan and 819 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.02 yuan and 2.62 yuan per share [9][10] - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 22-26x for 2024, with a reasonable price range of 44.44 to 52.52 yuan per share [9]