FIRST TRACTOR(SH:601038) Huaan Securities·2024-11-11 05:22Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.736 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.73%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.101 billion yuan, up 1.45% year-on-year [3] - The company is facing short-term pressure on profit margins, with a sales gross margin of 16.37% for the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 0.19 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 10.39%, down 0.27 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence despite short-term challenges, particularly in the Russian market, and is focusing on Central Asia and the Caucasus region to offset declines in sales [3] - The long-term development outlook for the company remains positive, with revised revenue forecasts of 12.011 billion yuan, 13.383 billion yuan, and 14.754 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.035 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.92 yuan. The P/E ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 17, 15, and 13 respectively [4][5] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 13.817 billion yuan in 2023 to 18.318 billion yuan by 2026, indicating a steady increase in financial strength [6] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve gradually from 15.9% in 2023 to 17.3% in 2026, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [6]