长光华芯：业绩仍承压，坚持打造光芯片IDM平台

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 203 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.58%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 63.39 million yuan, with a non-recurring net profit loss of 103 million yuan, indicating an expanded loss compared to the previous year [6][9] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 27.39%, down 4.34 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was -31.27%, a decrease of 21.07 percentage points year-on-year [6] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 75.36 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.40% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.65%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 20.91 million yuan [6][8] - The company continues to face pressure on profits due to intense competition in the laser market and declining prices for products such as industrial fiber coupling modules [8] Financial Performance - The company’s R&D expenses in Q3 2024 were 32.06 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.48%, with an R&D expense ratio of 42.55% [7] - The company’s total revenue forecast for 2024 is 297 million yuan, with expected revenues of 416 million yuan in 2025 and 539 million yuan in 2026, indicating a recovery trajectory [10][12] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 28 million yuan, with an EPS of 0.16 yuan, and for 2026, a net profit of 81 million yuan with an EPS of 0.46 yuan [9][13] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic laser chip IDM sector, with expectations for rapid growth as it expands into new business areas such as power, communication, and sensing [9] - The company plans to complete the construction of its second platform by 2025, which will cover silicon photonic integrated chips and multi-band laser chips [8][9] - The estimated dynamic PS valuation for 2025 is between 20-22x, corresponding to a reasonable value range of 47.22-51.94 yuan per share [9]