Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the need for a developmental mindset to address the challenges of transforming and upgrading the new energy vehicle insurance sector [3] - It highlights the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and the expected growth in insurance premiums, projecting that by 2025, the premium scale for new energy vehicle insurance will reach 194.7 billion, accounting for approximately 20.1% of total vehicle insurance premiums [2][3] - The report outlines the company's proactive approach in implementing green insurance innovations and developing a comprehensive risk management model that covers the entire lifecycle of vehicles [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Insurance service revenue is projected to grow from 424.4 billion in 2022 to 569.8 billion by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 29.2 billion in 2022 to 34.5 billion by 2026, reflecting a recovery after a decline in 2023 [1] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to stabilize around 12% in the coming years [1] New Energy Vehicle Insurance Insights - The report identifies that the claims ratio for new energy vehicle insurance is significantly higher, approximately 2.5 times that of traditional fuel vehicles, due to factors such as high operational vehicle ratios and a younger customer demographic [2][3] - It notes that the company has achieved underwriting profitability for new energy household commercial insurance as of January to October 2024, indicating a positive trend in the sector [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on new products, technologies, and business models to better meet the needs of vehicle owners and adapt to industry trends [3] - The report discusses the company's commitment to enhancing its capabilities in pricing, operations, innovation, and risk management to support the growth of new energy vehicle insurance [3]
中国财险：2024年投资者开放日交流与思考：新能源车险转型升级的烦恼，需用发展的思维来解决