Senior(300568) 海通证券·2024-11-12 03:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 0.952 billion yuan in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.45% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.37%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 62.84% year-on-year and 20.62% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to a reduction in subsidies [4] - The company is recognized as a leader in the lithium battery separator industry, with significant advancements in production efficiency and technology innovation, including the sixth generation of dry production lines and the fifth generation of super wet production lines [4][5] - The company is expanding its production capacity both domestically and internationally, with new bases in Nantong and Foshan, and is actively pursuing overseas projects in Sweden and Malaysia [5] - The company is increasing its R&D investments, focusing on solid-state batteries and coated separators, which are expected to create new profit growth points [5] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 0.401 billion yuan, 0.482 billion yuan, and 0.609 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -30.5%, +20.2%, and +26.4% [6] - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.013 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.218 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 24.8% [7][11] - The gross margin is expected to decline from 44.4% in 2023 to 30.1% in 2024, stabilizing thereafter [11] Production and Sales Forecast - The company anticipates separator shipments of 4.0 billion square meters, 5.5 billion square meters, and 6.88 billion square meters for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a unit price of 0.9 yuan per square meter [8][9]