AIHUA GROUP(603989) 财信证券·2024-11-12 09:03Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Aihua Group (603989 SH) with a target price of 15 58 RMB [1] Core Views - Aihua Group's profitability showed sequential improvement in Q3 2024 despite market structure adjustments impacting gross margins [3] - The company is actively expanding its product portfolio in film capacitors and MLPC to enhance technological capabilities and competitiveness [4] - Aihua Group is strategically positioning itself in the film capacitor market to capitalize on growth opportunities in new energy sectors such as EVs photovoltaics and wind power [4] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024 Aihua Group reported revenue of 10 41 billion RMB a 2 57% YoY increase but a 6 42% QoQ decline [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2024 was 94 million RMB down 26 79% YoY but up 35 78% QoQ [3] - Gross margin for Q3 2024 was 21 27% down 2 39 ppts YoY but up 0 5 ppts QoQ [3] R&D and New Projects - R&D expenses for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 171 million RMB a 34 22% YoY increase [4] - The Aiyuanda film capacitor and new materials project has cumulatively invested 106 million RMB (including tax) with key production lines progressing as planned [5] Market Positioning and Strategy - Aihua Group is leveraging its expertise in aluminum electrolytic capacitors to diversify into film capacitors aiming to create a dual-product portfolio [5] - The company is targeting new energy customers by offering integrated capacitor solutions enhancing its competitive edge in the sector [4] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024E is projected at 35 90 billion RMB with net profit attributable to shareholders at 3 02 billion RMB [6] - EPS for 2024E is forecasted at 0 75 RMB with a P/E ratio of 20 71x [6] - The company's revenue is expected to grow to 40 44 billion RMB by 2026E with net profit reaching 4 01 billion RMB [6]