GLARUNTECH(600562) 中航证券·2024-11-13 10:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guorui Technology (600562) [3] Core Views - Guorui Technology is a leading enterprise in radar equipment, with its gross profit margin reaching a ten-year high in 2024Q1-Q3 [3] - The company's revenue for 2024Q1-Q3 was RMB 1.985 billion, a decrease of 6.57% YoY, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 368 million, down 6.45% YoY [3] - The gross profit margin for 2024Q1-Q3 was 40.16%, an increase of 5.56 percentage points YoY, marking the highest level in the past decade [3] - In 2024Q3, the company's revenue was RMB 427 million, a YoY decrease of 24.68%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 23 million, a YoY decrease of 61.32% [3] Business Segments Radar Equipment Business - The company is a subsidiary of CETC 14th Institute, focusing on radar equipment, industrial software, and intelligent manufacturing, as well as smart rail transit [3] - In the defense radar sector, the company's new weapon positioning radar has gained international attention, and its fourth-generation multi-functional air defense radar has achieved breakthroughs in the international market [6] - In the meteorological radar sector, the company is a core supplier in China, with products like the X/Ka dual-wavelength dual-polarization Doppler cloud radar being exported to Brazil [6] - In the air traffic control radar sector, the company has achieved breakthroughs in domestic production, with its secondary radar S-mode collaborative surveillance networking function being promoted [6] Industrial Software and Intelligent Manufacturing Business - The company's REACH and REASY series products cover the entire lifecycle of industrial software and intelligent manufacturing, with strong market competitiveness [7] - The rapid advancement of China's manufacturing and industrial digital transformation has created strong demand for intelligent manufacturing, benefiting the company's business in this sector [7] Smart Rail Transit Business - The company is a key supplier in China's rail transit industry, with its third-generation CBTC signal system widely applied and the fourth-generation system reaching international advanced levels [8] - The company is developing a fifth-generation TACS signal system based on cloud architecture, aligning with the national "dual-carbon" strategy and the trend of intelligent and green urban rail development [8] Military Trade Business - The company is expected to benefit from the standardization of the military trade market, with its radar equipment covering defense, air traffic control, and meteorological sectors [9] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company's revenue for 2024 is forecasted to be RMB 3.599 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to reach RMB 664 million [10] - For 2025, revenue is projected to be RMB 3.974 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 736 million [10] - By 2026, revenue is expected to grow to RMB 4.374 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching RMB 817 million [10] Key Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to benefit from the development of low-altitude infrastructure and the global military trade market [10] - The company's industrial software and smart rail transit businesses are expected to contribute to long-term profit growth [10] - Backed by CETC 14th Institute, the company is well-positioned to leverage its technological and industrial advantages [10]