Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry in China [5] Core Viewpoints - The military trade market in China is continuously expanding, with significant developments such as Indonesia's procurement of the J-10 fighter jet, indicating a rapid growth in the military trade market scale [11] - The "Qianfan Constellation" satellite network has resumed operations after a 7-month hiatus, with the recent launch of 18 satellites, suggesting an acceleration in low-orbit satellite deployment [12] - The current market conditions show stabilization in military sector stock prices, with a focus on domestic demand and the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" which is expected to clarify new equipment construction plans [16][17] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report highlights several investment targets within the military electronics sector, including: - Aerospace Electric (002025, Buy) - Zhonghang Optics (002179, Buy) - Aerospace Electronics (600879, Not Rated) - In the new quality and domain sector, notable mentions include: - Haige Communication (002465, Buy) - New Light Optoelectronics (688011, Increase Holding) - For the engine chain, key targets include: - West Superconducting (688122, Buy) - Huqin Technology (688281, Increase Holding) - In military trade and main equipment, companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760, Not Rated) are highlighted [17]

Core Insights - The defense and military industry index experienced a decline of -4.70% over the past week, ranking 23rd out of 31 in the Shenwan primary industry [7][41] - The current PE-TTM for the defense and military industry is 83.33, which is at the 76.67 percentile compared to the past decade, indicating a relatively high valuation level [12][15] - The report highlights significant individual stock performances, with North China Long Dragon leading with an increase of 8.71% over the past week, while Guorui Technology saw a decline of -14.00% [17][41] Industry and Stock Market Review - The defense and military industry index has shown a decline of -1.92% over the past month, ranking 11th out of 31 [9][41] - Over the past year, the industry index has increased by 16.91%, ranking 19th out of 31 [3][41] - The trading volume for the defense and military industry reached 310.8 billion yuan this week, a year-on-year decrease of -8.63% but a week-on-week increase of +128.08% [31][34] Important Company Announcements - The report includes various significant announcements from companies in the defense sector, such as strategic cooperation agreements and stock repurchase plans [38] Industry News - Indonesia confirmed its plan to purchase Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, with a defense budget of at least 9 billion USD approved [40][41] - Successful launches of low-orbit satellite internet groups and the sixth batch of the Qianfan constellation were reported, indicating advancements in commercial aerospace [40][42] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key investment themes such as military trade, commercial aerospace, unmanned equipment, military AI, and low-altitude economy [43]

证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|低空经济周报（第 55 期） 亿航智能发布新一代长航程载人 eVTOL 产 推荐（维持） 品，关注"十五五"规划方向 行业研究 交通运输 2025 年 10 月 19 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：霍鹏浩 邮箱：huopenghao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524030001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 证券分析师：李清影 邮箱：liqingying@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525080004 联系人：刘邢雨 邮箱：liuxingyu@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [5] Core Viewpoints - The military industry is entering a medium to long-term layout turning point, with significant investment opportunities emerging due to international political turbulence and domestic military modernization efforts [4][5] - The recent unveiling of the J-35 aircraft production line indicates a continuous enhancement of national military strength, which is expected to lead to a rapid development phase in military trade [7] - The acceleration of satellite launches suggests that the commercial aerospace industry is poised for a new phase of rapid growth, benefiting related enterprises in the supply chain [7] Summary by Relevant Sections Recent Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the absolute return of the industry is 21.1%, while the relative return compared to the CSI 300 is 4.39% [3] Key Events - The "Peace and Friendship - 2025" joint military exercise between China and Malaysia is set to take place from October 15 to 23, involving over 1,000 personnel and more than 500 pieces of equipment [5] Investment Highlights - The military industry is expected to see a rebound after previous adjustments, with increasing investment value highlighted by the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" conclusion and ongoing geopolitical tensions [8] - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks such as AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, and others within the military sector [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the defense and military industry in China [6] Core Views - China's military trade market is expected to achieve new breakthroughs, with the successful establishment of a reusable rocket factory accelerating the low-orbit satellite network [2][11] - The procurement of 20 J-10CE fighter jets by Bangladesh for $2.2 billion signifies the growing recognition of Chinese military products and the potential for market expansion [10][15] - The completion of the first reusable rocket factory in Wenchang, Hainan, marks a significant advancement in commercial aerospace infrastructure, paving the way for scalable and reusable rocket development [10][17] Summary by Sections Military Trade Developments - Bangladesh plans to invest $2.2 billion to purchase 20 J-10CE fighter jets, with the total procurement cost including training and logistics expected to reach $2.2 billion [10][15] - The international competitiveness of Chinese military equipment is increasing due to enhanced technology performance and cost-effectiveness, transitioning from a focus on individual product advantages to comprehensive solution capabilities [16] Commercial Aerospace Advancements - The first reusable rocket assembly and testing factory in Wenchang, Hainan, has been completed, which will significantly enhance the production capacity and testing capabilities for reusable rockets [10][17] - The factory is expected to lower launch costs and accelerate the progress of commercial low-orbit satellite networks [17] Current Market Outlook - The military industry has stabilized recently, with a focus on domestic demand and military trade developments as key growth drivers [20] - The report highlights the importance of upstream components and key materials in supporting the lifecycle of various military equipment, indicating potential benefits from demand amplification effects [20] - The report suggests continued optimism for the military sector, with specific investment recommendations for various companies within the industry [10][20]

Market Overview - A-shares ended September with all major indices rising, with the ChiNext Index up approximately 12%, marking a three-year high, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index up over 11%, reaching a nearly four-year high [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 12.73% in Q3, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 29.25%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 50.40% [1] - On September 30, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78 points, up 0.52%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51 points, up 0.35% [1] Sector Performance Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector saw significant gains, with companies like Jiangxi Copper and Jingyi Co. hitting their daily limit up [2][3] - The cobalt market experienced a sharp increase, with the average price of 1 cobalt reaching 337,000 CNY/ton, a rise of 29,000 CNY, marking the largest single-day increase this year [3] - Factors contributing to this surge include tightening global supply and strong domestic demand in the new energy sector [3][6] Semiconductor Sector - The storage chip sector was notably active, with Jiangbolong and Huahong Semiconductor reaching new highs, with Jiangbolong hitting a 20% limit up [7] - NAND flash prices are expected to rise by 5%-10% in the coming quarters due to high demand in the enterprise SSD market [9] Military Trade - The military trade sector saw a rise, with companies like Guorui Technology and AVIC Shenfei hitting their daily limit up [10] - Increased global security concerns due to the worsening situation in the Middle East are expected to boost defense spending, enhancing demand for Chinese military equipment [10]

Market Overview - A-shares saw a strong performance in September, with major indices closing higher, including a 12% increase in the ChiNext Index, marking a three-year high, and over 11% rise in the Sci-Tech 50 Index, reaching a four-year high [2][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 12.73% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 29.25% for the quarter, with all major indices achieving five consecutive monthly gains [2] Sector Performance - The financial and liquor sectors experienced declines, while the non-ferrous metals sector surged, with companies like Jiangxi Copper and Jingyi Co. hitting their daily limit [3][6] - The storage chip concept was active, with stocks like Jiangbolong and Huahong Semiconductor reaching new highs [10] - The military trade concept gained momentum, with stocks such as Guorui Technology and AVIC Shenfei hitting their daily limit [14][16] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The cobalt market saw a significant surge, with the average price of 1 cobalt reaching 337,000 CNY/ton, a daily increase of 29,000 CNY, marking the largest single-day rise this year [8] - Factors contributing to this surge include tightening global supply and strong domestic demand in the new energy sector [8][9] - The Congo government's quota policy is expected to exacerbate the shortage of cobalt, leading to a strong upward trend in prices [9] Chip Sector - The NAND flash market is experiencing price increases, with major manufacturers like SanDisk and Samsung announcing price hikes due to high demand and supply constraints [12] - The market outlook remains positive, with expectations of further price increases in enterprise-level SSDs and related components [12] Military Trade Sector - The deteriorating security situation in the Middle East is likely to increase global defense spending, benefiting Chinese military equipment exports [16] - The upcoming Dubai Airshow in November is anticipated to showcase strong performance for Chinese military exports [16]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry experienced a significant increase in stock prices, with a rise of 2.59% on September 30, 2023, driven by substantial net inflows of capital [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.52% on September 30, 2023, with 19 out of 28 sectors showing gains, particularly in non-ferrous metals and defense industries, which increased by 3.22% and 2.59% respectively [1]. - The defense industry saw a net inflow of 20.78 billion yuan, making it the top sector for capital inflow, while the non-bank financial sector led in capital outflow with 114.05 billion yuan [1]. Capital Flow Analysis - In the defense industry, 138 stocks were tracked, with 119 stocks rising and 4 hitting the daily limit up. The top net inflow stocks included AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company with 902 million yuan, followed by Aerospace Rainbow and Guorui Technology with 226 million yuan and 176 million yuan respectively [2]. - The top stocks experiencing capital outflow included China Shipbuilding Industry with a net outflow of 550 million yuan, followed by Guangwei Composites and Guangqi Technology with outflows of 44 million yuan and 43 million yuan respectively [3]. Sector Highlights - The defense industry had a total of 80 stocks with net inflows, with 10 stocks receiving over 100 million yuan in net inflows [2]. - The defense industry also had notable stocks with significant capital outflows, indicating a mixed sentiment among investors [3].

Core Insights - The military electronics sector experienced a significant increase of 2.86% on September 30, with Gao Ling Information leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Stock Performance - Gao Ling Information (688175) closed at 25.57, up 13.90% with a trading volume of 68,400 shares and a transaction value of 167 million [1] - Tu Rui Technology (600562) closed at 34.42, up 10.00% with a trading volume of 366,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.207 billion [1] - Hangda Nanhai (688552) closed at 43.10, up 9.95% with a trading volume of 123,200 shares [1] - Other notable performers include Xi Ce Testing (301306) up 5.72%, and Hongyuan Electronics (603267) up 4.75% [1] Capital Flow - The military electronics sector saw a net inflow of 659 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 280 million [2][3] - Major stocks like Tu Rui Technology and Gao Ling Information had significant net inflows from institutional investors, indicating strong interest [3]

Core Viewpoint - The military trade sector has seen a significant surge due to escalating global security concerns, particularly in the Middle East, leading to increased demand for defense equipment from China [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the report, aerospace companies such as Aerospace South Lake have risen over 10%, while Guorui Technology and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft have reached their daily limit, and Hongdu Aviation and Aerospace Rainbow have increased by approximately 7% [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Since September, the worsening situation in the Middle East has intensified global security issues, suggesting a potential rise in defense spending worldwide [1] - Historical trends indicate that the rise of major powers is often accompanied by the expansion of military trade, which is crucial for enhancing China's international influence and maintaining its peaceful rise strategy [1] - The global military expenditure is projected to see its largest increase since the end of the Cold War in 2024, presenting favorable conditions for China's military trade [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Recent security and defense incidents in the Middle East have bolstered expectations for Chinese equipment exports to the region [1] - The upcoming Dubai Airshow in mid-November is anticipated to showcase strong performance for Chinese equipment exports [1] - It is recommended to focus on key players in the military trade sector, particularly those representing main engine manufacturers, as they are expected to benefit the most from this development [1]