TENCENT(00700) 开源证券·2024-11-15 14:54Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The new game cycle and the commercialization of the WeChat ecosystem are expected to continue driving growth for the company [1][3] - The company achieved a revenue of 487.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7%, with a net profit of 142.7 billion yuan, up 62% year-on-year [3] - The report highlights strong performance in domestic gaming and marketing services, with significant contributions from popular games and advertising demand [3][5] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 167.2 billion yuan (up 8% year-on-year) and a net profit of 53.2 billion yuan (up 47% year-on-year) [3] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 53% (up 4 percentage points year-on-year), driven by high-margin revenue growth from domestic gaming and video services [4] - The Non-IFRS net profit margin reached 35.8% in Q3 2024, an increase of 6.7 percentage points year-on-year [4] Growth Drivers - The company’s new games have shown strong performance, with titles like "DNF Mobile" consistently ranking at the top of the iOS sales charts [5] - The WeChat ecosystem's commercialization efficiency is improving, with the GMV of mini-programs exceeding 2 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth [5] - The report anticipates continued revenue growth from new game launches and the expanding user base of the WeChat platform [5] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for the company has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 193 billion yuan, 217 billion yuan, and 236 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3] - Corresponding EPS estimates are 20.8 yuan, 23.4 yuan, and 25.5 yuan for the same years, with current price-to-earnings ratios of 17.9, 15.9, and 14.6 [3][6]