Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market benchmark [6][146]. Core Insights - Fengmao Co., Ltd. is a leading domestic manufacturer of rubber transmission belts, with approximately 90.15% of its revenue coming from the automotive sector in 2023 [4][39]. - The company achieved a revenue of approximately 439 million yuan in the first half of 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.64% [4]. - The rubber components industry has a large market capacity, with the non-tire rubber market expected to grow from 28.7 billion USD in 2023 to 42.7 billion USD by 2030, at a CAGR of about 5.88% from 2024 to 2030 [4][75]. Company Overview - Fengmao Co., Ltd. specializes in precision rubber components, including transmission system parts, fluid pipeline system parts, and sealing system parts [4][39]. - The company ranks third in the transmission belt and rubber track sub-industry according to the China Rubber Industry Association [39]. Financial Analysis - The company’s revenue for 2023 is approximately 802 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 31.83% [53]. - The gross profit margin has remained stable between 27.10% and 31.01% from 2019 to 2023, with a gross margin of approximately 38.80% for overseas sales in 2023 [63]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is approximately 138 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.14% [64]. Growth Logic - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with overseas customer revenue increasing from approximately 5.28% in 2020 to about 27.15% in 2023 [5][100]. - The company is also focusing on import substitution, gradually replacing foreign brands in the domestic automotive supply chain [5][109]. - New product developments are being targeted at commercial vehicles and new energy vehicles, with several projects already underway [5][120]. Industry Overview - The automotive rubber parts market is characterized by a wide range of applications, with the non-tire rubber components accounting for about 2% of the total vehicle cost [75]. - The global automotive parts rubber molding market is projected to reach 292.9 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 3.5% from 2024 to 2030 [75]. - The aftermarket for automotive parts is expected to grow significantly due to the aging vehicle population, with the average age of passenger cars in China projected to increase to 8.7 years by 2030 [79]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of approximately 921 million yuan, 1.059 billion yuan, and 1.218 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of about 14.9% [6][141]. - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are approximately 21.53, 18.34, and 15.58, respectively [6][146].
丰茂股份：首次覆盖深度报告：加快出海步伐，新领域拓展可期