Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Outperform" rating to Zhongrong Electric (301031) [2] Core Views - Q3 2024 results exceeded expectations with net profit attributable to parent company up 90.9% YoY [5] - Revenue from new energy vehicles grew 45.4% YoY in H1 2024, outperforming industry growth [6] - Overseas projects are accelerating with expected volume growth in 2025 [7] - The company is strategically focusing on high-quality customers in the wind, solar, and energy storage sectors [7] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue reached 370 million yuan, up 41.6% YoY [5] - Gross margin in Q3 2024 was 39.1%, down 1.6 pct YoY but up 0.4 pct QoQ [5] - Net profit attributable to parent company in Q3 2024 was 55 million yuan, up 90.9% YoY [5] - H1 2024 revenue from new energy vehicle sector was 360 million yuan, up 45.4% YoY [6] Business Segments - New energy vehicles account for over 60% of the company's power fuse downstream applications [6] - Revenue from wind, solar, and energy storage sector in H1 2024 was 170 million yuan, down 1.9% YoY [7] - Overseas revenue accounted for 5.7% of total revenue in 2023, with a gross margin of 52.6% [7] Growth Drivers - New products such as incentive fuses and smart fuses are expected to contribute to future growth [6] - Overseas projects, including a global exclusive order from a German automaker, are expected to drive growth from 2025 [7] - The company has entered the supply chains of Tesla and Daimler [7] Financial Projections - Expected net profit attributable to parent company for 2024-2026 is 180, 290, and 390 million yuan respectively [8] - EPS for 2024-2026 is projected to be 2.73, 4.41, and 5.92 yuan [8] - Revenue growth for new energy vehicle business is expected to be 43.1%, 37.1%, and 24.7% for 2024-2026 [11] - Revenue growth for wind, solar, and energy storage business is expected to be 20.0%, 25.0%, and 20.0% for 2024-2026 [11] Valuation - The report suggests a reasonable value range of 110.20-132.24 yuan based on 25-30x 2025 PE [8] - Comparable companies have an average PE of 19.06x, 16.17x, and 13.98x for 2024-2026 [14]
中熔电气：Q3盈利超预期，出海+新品打开成长空间