LFX(600612) GF SECURITIES·2024-11-19 13:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 53.56 CNY per share, compared to the current price of 51.14 CNY [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2024, with revenue at 52.582 billion CNY, down 15.28% year-on-year, and net profit at 1.776 billion CNY, down 9.60% year-on-year. The third quarter alone saw a revenue drop of 41.89% year-on-year [3][4]. - The rising gold prices have negatively impacted consumer demand for gold jewelry, leading to pressure on the company's financial performance [3]. - The company is investing 840 million CNY in a new multi-functional industrial building project aimed at enhancing its brand image and operational environment, expected to take 48 months to complete [4]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 62.204 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of -12.9%. Net profit is expected to be 2.001 billion CNY, reflecting a -9.6% growth rate [5]. - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 6.52%, a decrease of 0.98 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant sensitivity to gold price fluctuations [4]. - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in revenue and profit in the following years, with projected revenues of 67.163 billion CNY and 72.002 billion CNY for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4].