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小鹏汽车-W:新品周期开启,智能化逻辑延续
09868XPENG(09868) 平安证券·2024-11-20 03:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock performance over the next six months [4][19]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 10.1 billion yuan for Q3 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 18.4% and a year-on-year growth of 24.5%. The loss for the quarter was 1.81 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year reduction of 53.5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40.7% [10]. - The company has improved its gross margin to 15.3% in Q3 2024, driven by cost reduction efforts and an increase in the sales proportion of higher-margin models [11]. - The company plans to enter a strong product cycle in 2025, with at least four new models expected to be launched, including an extended-range vehicle that enhances user appeal [14]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 30.68 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 41.35 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 34.8% [9][17]. - The net profit for 2024 is projected to be a loss of 6.09 billion yuan, improving to a profit of 1.4 billion yuan by 2026 [9][17]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 1.5% in 2023 to 14.1% in 2024, with a further increase to 17.6% by 2026 [9][17]. Sales and Delivery Insights - The company delivered 46,533 vehicles in Q3 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54.0% [10]. - The sales revenue from automotive sales reached 8.8 billion yuan in Q3 2024, with an average revenue per vehicle of 189,000 yuan, which saw a decline of 3,700 yuan quarter-on-quarter [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The introduction of two popular models, M03 and P7+, is expected to help the company recover from previous sales challenges and improve market positioning [11][14]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its technological capabilities and expanding its product offerings to capture a broader customer base [14].