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英伟达:2025财年第三季度业绩前瞻

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for NVIDIA (NVDA) with a target price of 145.00,representingapotentialupsideof3.46145.00, representing a potential upside of 3.46% from the current stock price of 140.15 [2]. Core Insights - The report anticipates NVIDIA's revenue for FY25Q3 to be approximately 339billion,withagrossmarginslightlydecliningto75.1339 billion, with a gross margin slightly declining to 75.1%. The expected net profit is projected to be 178 billion [2]. - The data center business is expected to generate 30billioninrevenue,whilethegamingsegmentisprojectedtoreach30 billion in revenue, while the gaming segment is projected to reach 3 billion. The professional visualization segment is estimated to contribute 4.8billion,andtheautomotivebusinessisexpectedtogenerate4.8 billion, and the automotive business is expected to generate 3.5 billion [2]. - For FY25Q4, the consensus estimate is around 372billioninrevenue,withexpectationsthatthecompanywillmaintainconservativeguidance,projectingrevenueofapproximately372 billion in revenue, with expectations that the company will maintain conservative guidance, projecting revenue of approximately 375 billion [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The report provides guidance for FY25Q3, with a revenue midpoint of 325billionandaGAAPoperatingexpenseof325 billion and a GAAP operating expense of 4.3 billion, leading to a net profit estimate of 168billion.TheBloombergconsensusforFY25Q3is168 billion. The Bloomberg consensus for FY25Q3 is 332 billion in revenue and a gross margin of 75% [2]. - The report highlights that TSMC's positive guidance supports NVIDIA's revenue growth for 2026, with expectations of at least 20% growth in the data center business [2]. Market Position - NVIDIA's market capitalization is noted to be 343.79billion,with245.3billionsharesoutstanding[2].ThereportemphasizesthestrongdemandforAIandnetworkingproducts,whichareexpectedtocontributeover343.79 billion, with 245.3 billion shares outstanding [2]. - The report emphasizes the strong demand for AI and networking products, which are expected to contribute over 30 billion in revenue next year [2].