FUTU(FUTU) 第一上海证券·2024-11-22 05:46Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention an investment rating for Futu Holdings (FUTU) [2] Core Views - Futu Holdings continues to demonstrate strong growth through product innovation and market expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia [2] - The company achieved a 30% YoY increase in total revenue to HKD 3.4 billion in Q3 2024, driven by growth across all business segments [2] - FUTU's customer base and assets under management continue to expand rapidly, with total paying clients reaching 2.2 million, a 33% YoY increase [2][5] Financial Performance Revenue Breakdown - Brokerage commission and handling fee revenue grew 52% YoY to HKD 1.5 billion, despite a decrease in commission rates from 9.3 bps to 8.0 bps [2] - Interest income increased 13% YoY to HKD 1.7 billion, driven by margin financing and securities lending businesses [2] - Other income (including wealth management and corporate services) surged 52% YoY to HKD 209 million [2] Cost Structure - Total costs increased 43% YoY to HKD 625 million, primarily driven by higher interest expenses (up 43% YoY) and processing/service costs (up 51% YoY) [2] Profitability - Gross profit grew 27% YoY to HKD 2.8 billion, with a gross margin of 81.8% [2] - Operating profit increased 31% YoY to HKD 1.7 billion, with an operating margin of 50.4% [2] - Net profit rose 21% YoY to HKD 1.3 billion, with a net profit margin of 38.4% [2] Customer Growth and Market Performance - FUTU added 154,000 net new paying clients in Q3 2024, a 138% YoY increase [2] - Total client assets grew 48% YoY to HKD 693 billion, driven by stock appreciation and net asset inflows [5] - Hong Kong and Singapore markets contributed over one-third of new paying clients, while Malaysia remained the largest contributor for three consecutive quarters [4] Trading Volume and Market Activity - Total trading volume increased 17% QoQ to HKD 1.9 trillion [6] - US stock trading volume grew 23% QoQ to HKD 1.53 trillion, driven by increased interest in tech stocks and leveraged ETFs [6] - Hong Kong stock trading volume declined 3% QoQ to HKD 348 billion, despite a 267% weekly surge in late September [6] Product Innovation and Expansion - Launched US stock dividend reinvestment plan in Hong Kong [7] - Introduced NISA savings accounts and mutual funds in Japan, along with US stock margin trading and Japanese options [7] - Became the first broker in Malaysia to offer US stock options trading and launched MYR/USD-denominated money market funds [7] Capital Allocation - The board approved a special cash dividend of USD 0.25 per ordinary share or USD 2.00 per ADS, totaling approximately HKD 195 million [8] Financial Forecasts - Operating revenue is projected to grow from HKD 12.62 billion in 2024 to HKD 16.42 billion in 2026 [9] - Net profit is expected to increase from HKD 5.10 billion in 2024 to HKD 7.45 billion in 2026 [9] - EPS is forecasted to rise from HKD 4.59 in 2024 to HKD 6.78 in 2026 [9]