NHPM(601882) 东方证券·2024-12-06 00:51Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 33.8 CNY [4][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2024 faced pressure, with revenue of 814 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.26% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 110 million CNY, down 22.47% year-on-year and 32.42% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The overall gross margin for Q3 2024 was 27.33%, a decrease of 3.72 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.54%, down 3.97 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company has increased its R&D expenditure by 27% year-on-year to 125 million CNY in the first three quarters of 2024, indicating a strategic focus on enhancing product performance and capabilities during the industry's downturn [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2.493 billion CNY, a slight decline of 0.57% year-on-year, and a net profit of 404 million CNY, down 12.89% year-on-year [3]. - The company’s expense ratio for the first three quarters was 10.81%, an increase of 0.77 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising R&D costs [3]. Industry Context - The machine tool industry continues to face demand pressures, with a reported 6.6% year-on-year decline in revenue and a staggering 78.8% drop in total profits across the industry from January to September 2024 [3]. - Despite the overall industry challenges, the company is focusing on R&D to maintain its competitive edge and prepare for future recovery phases [3]. Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the revenue forecast for 2024 downwards, predicting EPS of 1.06 CNY for 2024, 1.30 CNY for 2025, and 1.52 CNY for 2026, reflecting a cautious outlook amid current market conditions [4].